0x35E11b1116cE94188Ec3990ff8B479A9edF14e84-1780873600165
0x35e11b1116ce94188ec3990ff8b479a9edf14e84
- Realised P&L
- $17.70
- Volume
- $475.29
- Markets traded
- 21
- Open portfolio
- $36.53
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar3.7%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded21
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration68.7% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample16 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)43.8%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Carlos Ricardo Bruce Montes de Oca win the next Lima mayoral elections? · Yes | 0.278 | 0.140 | $36.53 | −$36.39 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 16, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET · Up | 0.220 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Ethereum Up or Down - July 15, 10PM ET · Down | 0.470 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Will Trump be in the WC Champions Photo? · No | 0.178 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 16, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET · Up | 0.590 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 16, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET · Down | 0.240 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$23.70at 0.233Will Argentina win on 2026-07-15?
- +$6.32at 0.534Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$1.98at 0.345Bitcoin Up or Down - July 16, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET
- +$1.49at 0.190Ethereum Up or Down - July 15, 8PM ET
- +$0.53at 0.315Bitcoin Up or Down - July 16, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-27 05:42 | Will Carlos Ricardo Bruce Montes de Oca win the next Lima mayoral elections? | BUY | 0.2999999957 | $41.92 |
| 08-11 15:47 | Will Carlos Ricardo Bruce Montes de Oca win the next Lima mayoral elections? | BUY | 0.2099999864 | $11.00 |
| 08-11 14:11 | Will Carlos Ricardo Bruce Montes de Oca win the next Lima mayoral elections? | BUY | 0.2011494001 | $5.00 |
| 08-10 18:07 | Will Carlos Ricardo Bruce Montes de Oca win the next Lima mayoral elections? | BUY | 0.3340669593 | $15.00 |
| 07-19 22:58 | Will Trump be in the WC Champions Photo? | BUY | 0.1499998875 | $1.00 |
| 07-19 22:47 | Will Trump be in the WC Champions Photo? | BUY | 0.2199998548 | $1.00 |
| 07-18 22:49 | France vs. England: Team to Win | SELL | 0.076 | $0.33 |
| 07-18 22:24 | France vs. England: Team to Win | BUY | 0.2319998664 | $1.00 |
| 07-16 15:56 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 16, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET | BUY | 0.2199998548 | $1.00 |
| 07-16 13:50 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 16, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET | BUY | 0.239999856 | $1.00 |
| 07-16 13:48 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 16, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET | SELL | 0.35 | $1.29 |
| 07-16 13:46 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 16, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET | BUY | 0.2699998542 | $1.00 |
| 07-16 06:30 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 16, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET | BUY | 0.5 | $1.00 |
| 07-16 06:01 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 16, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET | SELL | 0.49 | $1.63 |
| 07-16 06:00 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 16, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET | BUY | 0.29999982 | $1.00 |