Gmarr
0x35e0ce72a3e31d5088a9665d276cdcc00abb1c4f
- Realised P&L
- $-18.92
- Volume
- $997.42
- Markets traded
- 16
- Open portfolio
- $33.29
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded16
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration53.9% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample8 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)62.5%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration60.8% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? · Yes | 0.220 | 0.222 | $20.29 | +$0.16 |
| Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 35°C on August 8? · Yes | 0.487 | 0.445 | $8.90 | −$0.84 |
| Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 34°C on August 8? · Yes | 0.280 | 0.245 | $2.45 | −$0.35 |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? · Yes | 0.250 | 0.175 | $1.75 | −$0.75 |
| Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 31°C on August 1? · Yes | 0.330 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$11.88 |
| Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 29°C on July 25? · Yes | 0.270 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$8.10 |
| Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31? · Yes | 0.105 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$4.20 |
| Will Trump be in the WC Champions Photo? · No | 0.003 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 30°C on July 25? · Yes | 0.383 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$11.50 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$19.79at 0.289Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 30°C on July 29?
- +$8.23at 0.420Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 32°C on August 1?
- +$5.16at 0.870Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 29°C on July 28?
- +$2.60at 0.480Bitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET
- +$0.95at 0.930Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 29°C on July 29?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-07 12:28 | Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.220288678 | $20.13 |
| 08-07 12:22 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 35°C on August 8? | BUY | 0.487 | $9.74 |
| 08-07 12:20 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 34°C on August 8? | BUY | 0.28 | $2.80 |
| 08-01 09:13 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 32°C on August 1? | SELL | 0.998 | $5.24 |
| 07-31 11:07 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 32°C on August 1? | BUY | 0.42 | $8.82 |
| 07-31 11:07 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 31°C on August 1? | BUY | 0.33 | $11.88 |
| 07-31 09:38 | Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | BUY | 0.25 | $2.50 |
| 07-31 09:20 | Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31? | BUY | 0.105 | $0.90 |
| 07-29 07:31 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 29°C on July 29? | SELL | 0.999 | $13.79 |
| 07-29 07:31 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 30°C on July 29? | SELL | 0.991 | $16.85 |
| 07-29 07:30 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 31°C on July 29? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.04 |
| 07-28 11:01 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 31°C on July 29? | BUY | 0.45 | $11.25 |
| 07-28 11:01 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 31°C on July 29? | BUY | 0.44 | $4.40 |
| 07-28 11:01 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 31°C on July 29? | SELL | 0.56 | $10.14 |
| 07-28 11:00 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 30°C on July 29? | BUY | 0.2885294118 | $9.81 |