wenzys
0x35dd46806ec629241a5c3ab17d7c2f2d80cd75f3
- Realised P&L
- $817.69
- Volume
- $130.3k
- Markets traded
- 59
- Open portfolio
- $885.95
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded59
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration36.8% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)42.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration52.9% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by May 31, 2027? · Yes | 0.460 | 0.475 | $469.07 | +$14.81 |
| Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 15 to October 17, 2026? · Yes | 0.420 | 0.370 | $401.81 | −$54.30 |
| Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 15 to October 17, 2026? · No | 0.710 | 0.685 | $15.07 | −$0.55 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.0kat 0.860US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
- +$389.64at 0.585Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 20 to June 22, 2026?
- +$356.42at 0.208Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?
- +$173.17at 0.710US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
- +$168.23at 0.420US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-15 20:05 | Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 15 to October 17, 2026? | BUY | 0.71 | $7.41 |
| 10-13 05:47 | Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 12 to October 14, 2026? | SELL | 0.66 | $66.00 |
| 10-11 04:21 | Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 10 to October 12, 2026? | BUY | 0.51 | $11.31 |
| 08-03 04:50 | Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 1 to August 3, 2026? | SELL | 0.27 | $3.87 |
| 07-21 22:02 | Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from July 20 to July 22, 2026? | BUY | 0.48 | $45.12 |
| 07-21 22:01 | Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from July 20 to July 22, 2026? | BUY | 0.47 | $54.17 |
| 07-21 22:00 | Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from July 20 to July 22, 2026? | SELL | 0.51 | $29.96 |
| 07-21 21:58 | Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from July 20 to July 22, 2026? | BUY | 0.46 | $117.19 |
| 07-21 21:56 | Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from July 20 to July 22, 2026? | SELL | 0.52 | $138.02 |
| 07-21 21:55 | Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from July 20 to July 22, 2026? | BUY | 0.46 | $22.00 |
| 07-21 21:54 | Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from July 20 to July 22, 2026? | SELL | 0.53 | $22.83 |
| 07-21 21:52 | Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from July 20 to July 22, 2026? | BUY | 0.45 | $69.40 |
| 07-21 21:51 | Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from July 20 to July 22, 2026? | SELL | 0.54 | $71.11 |
| 07-21 10:18 | Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from July 20 to July 22, 2026? | BUY | 0.62 | $50.69 |
| 07-21 07:52 | Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from July 20 to July 22, 2026? | BUY | 0.61 | $244.00 |