liruihao
0x35dc385c3a2ef468a429a9c2b04a56849296b9ef
- Realised P&L
- $-27.7k
- Volume
- $922.6k
- Markets traded
- 17
- Open portfolio
- $29.7k
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-3.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded17
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- ClearProfit concentration27.1% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample7 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)57.1%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration60.7% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · Yes | 0.207 | 0.162 | $18.0k | −$5.1k |
| Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes | 0.153 | 0.105 | $9.0k | −$4.0k |
| Will the Republicans win the Ohio governor race in 2026? · Yes | 0.656 | 0.455 | $1.4k | −$628.67 |
| Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · Yes | 0.013 | 0.003 | $1.2k | −$4.8k |
| Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes | 0.007 | 0.001 | $71.43 | −$928.57 |
| Will Japan win on 2026-06-25? · Yes | 0.484 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.5k |
| Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes | 0.391 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$7.0k |
| Will Japan reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes | 0.255 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$500.00 |
| Will Japan reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes | 0.419 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1000.00 |
| Will Japan win on 2026-06-14? · Yes | 0.270 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1000.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.5kat 0.286Will Netherlands vs. Japan end in a draw?
- +$2.5kat 0.790Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?
- +$2.2kat 0.635Will France reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$2.1kat 0.657Will Japan win on 2026-06-21?
- +$-0.09at 0.540Will the Democrats win the Ohio governor race in 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-14 13:27 | Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.3909999998 | $1000.00 |
| 07-14 13:27 | Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.3909999998 | $1000.00 |
| 07-14 13:27 | Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.391 | $5.0k |
| 06-25 11:10 | Will Japan win on 2026-06-25? | BUY | 0.506 | $2.0k |
| 06-21 13:58 | Will Japan win on 2026-06-25? | BUY | 0.4899999999 | $1000.00 |
| 06-21 13:58 | Will Japan win on 2026-06-25? | BUY | 0.4899999999 | $2.0k |
| 06-21 12:42 | Will Japan win on 2026-06-25? | BUY | 0.49 | $3.0k |
| 06-21 07:29 | Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.1527357976 | $1000.00 |
| 06-21 07:28 | Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.007 | $1000.00 |
| 06-21 07:27 | Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.1461282422 | $200.00 |
| 06-21 07:11 | Will France reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.6199999994 | $300.00 |
| 06-20 12:05 | Will France reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.6298863848 | $1.7k |
| 06-20 12:05 | Will Portugal reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.41 | $1.7k |
| 06-20 12:04 | Will France reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.6269434292 | $1.8k |
| 06-20 12:04 | Will Portugal reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.4138809867 | $1.7k |