0x35d7793F4B229D244B29A8e35815D70E707f026f-1745097305152
0x35d7793f4b229d244b29a8e35815d70e707f026f
- Realised P&L
- $-6.6k
- Volume
- $72.5k
- Markets traded
- 61
- Open portfolio
- $23.03
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-9.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded61
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration16.2% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample27 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)66.7%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration58.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$251.64at 0.110Will Mikie Sherrill win by 12-15%?
- +$223.30at 0.620Liberals win majority in Canadian election?
- +$196.22at 0.090Will Zohran Mamdani win by 0-10%?
- +$170.94at 0.230Will the government shutdown end November 13?
- +$161.59at 0.419NBA Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Timberwolves vs. Nuggets
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-10 21:29 | Will Seth Moulton be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Massachusetts? | BUY | 0.28 | $18.48 |
| 06-10 21:28 | Will Alexander Vindman be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Florida? | BUY | 0.903 | $49.66 |
| 06-10 21:28 | Will Alexander Vindman be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Florida? | BUY | 0.9 | $2.02 |
| 06-10 21:28 | Will Alexander Vindman be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Florida? | BUY | 0.9 | $171.00 |
| 06-10 21:24 | Will Tom Begich win the 2026 Alaska governor election? | BUY | 0.2999999743 | $7.00 |
| 06-10 21:24 | Will Tom Begich win the 2026 Alaska governor election? | BUY | 0.3 | $6.00 |
| 06-10 21:24 | Will Tom Begich win the 2026 Alaska governor election? | BUY | 0.2999999812 | $8.00 |
| 06-10 21:24 | Will Tom Begich win the 2026 Alaska governor election? | BUY | 0.3 | $15.00 |
| 06-10 21:23 | Will Tom Begich win the 2026 Alaska governor election? | BUY | 0.2899999981 | $83.00 |
| 06-06 07:43 | Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | BUY | 0.2799999937 | $30.00 |
| 05-29 06:21 | Will Randy Feenstra win the 2026 Iowa Governor Republican primary election? | BUY | 0.7699999982 | $55.00 |
| 05-29 06:20 | Will Matt Mahan advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election? | BUY | 0.0129999873 | $1.00 |
| 05-28 04:53 | Will Michael Bennet win the 2026 Colorado Governor Democratic primary election? | BUY | 0.8099998582 | $4.00 |
| 05-28 04:53 | Will Michael Bennet win the 2026 Colorado Governor Democratic primary election? | BUY | 0.8099999977 | $50.00 |
| 05-26 03:13 | Will Saikat Chakrabarti receive the most votes in the CA-11 primary? | BUY | 0.0455973672 | $10.00 |