0x35D637e1511089b778569c6963dde08829126773-1768481549566
0x35d637e1511089b778569c6963dde08829126773
- Realised P&L
- $-116.48
- Volume
- $14.2k
- Markets traded
- 60
- Open portfolio
- $98.05
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded60
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration20.7% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)90.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration96.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in September? · No | 0.760 | 0.895 | $94.16 | +$14.20 |
| Decibel FDV above $500M one day after launch? · No | 0.880 | 0.900 | $1.02 | +$0.02 |
| Huddle FDV above $200M one day after launch? · No | 0.965 | 0.969 | $1.00 | +$0.00 |
| MagicBlock FDV above $300M one day after launch? · No | 0.984 | 0.934 | $0.95 | −$0.05 |
| Relay FDV above $1B one day after launch? · No | 0.970 | 0.879 | $0.91 | −$0.09 |
| Flying Tulip FDV above $1B one day after launch? · No | 0.820 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Mobile Legends Bang Bang: Aurora Gaming PH vs AP.Bren (BO3) - MPL Philippines Regular Season · AP.Bren | 0.001 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$0.25 |
| Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $185 on February 26? · Yes | 0.994 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Nexus FDV above $500M one day after launch? · No | 0.940 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 in August? · No | 0.940 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$126.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$5.96at 0.944Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in June?
- +$5.77at 0.943Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in July?
- +$5.60at 0.930Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in May?
- +$5.49at 0.901Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 in January?
- +$1.00at 0.800Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 22°C on March 22?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-11 22:19 | Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in September? | BUY | 0.7599999951 | $79.96 |
| 08-26 14:20 | Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in August? | BUY | 0.8779999986 | $71.53 |
| 08-25 03:03 | Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in August? | SELL | 0.5824977205 | $74.11 |
| 08-22 01:58 | Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in August? | BUY | 0.771838244 | $98.20 |
| 08-17 00:21 | Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 in August? | BUY | 0.94 | $126.00 |
| 08-01 07:30 | Extended FDV above $800M one day after launch? | SELL | 0.9 | $1.02 |
| 08-01 07:30 | Unit FDV above $1B one day after launch? | SELL | 0.86 | $1.00 |
| 07-06 09:05 | Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in July? | BUY | 0.939 | $95.00 |
| 07-06 09:05 | Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in July? | SELL | 0.78 | $93.60 |
| 07-03 21:28 | Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in July? | BUY | 0.75 | $90.00 |
| 06-11 12:07 | Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in June? | BUY | 0.9399999964 | $100.00 |
| 03-23 04:47 | Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 19°C or higher on March 23? | SELL | 0.74 | $4.15 |
| 03-23 01:30 | Decibel FDV above $500M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.8799999648 | $1.00 |
| 03-23 01:30 | Billions FDV above $700M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.9789999883 | $1.00 |
| 03-23 01:30 | MagicBlock FDV above $300M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.984 | $1.00 |