yesyesyes33
0x35d3a86dcf598864caf99f7e4f98c4ee9169e506
- Realised P&L
- $-14.4k
- Volume
- $1.53M
- Markets traded
- 1,455
- Open portfolio
- $3.3k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded1,455
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration7.4% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)96.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration30.9% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread: FC Barcelona (-1.5) · FC Barcelona | 0.580 | 0.972 | $1.0k | +$405.52 |
| Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-10-13? · Yes | 0.350 | 0.925 | $925.00 | +$575.00 |
| Spread: FC Barcelona (-2.5) · FC Barcelona | 0.370 | 0.865 | $584.46 | +$334.46 |
| Spread: FC Bayern München (-2.5) · FC Bayern München | 0.510 | 0.245 | $240.20 | −$259.80 |
| Will Middlesbrough FC win on 2026-10-13? · No | 0.500 | 0.215 | $215.00 | −$285.00 |
| Club Atlético de Madrid vs. Manchester United FC: O/U 2.5 · Over | 0.580 | 0.205 | $201.47 | −$368.53 |
| Spread: FC Bayern München (-3.5) · FC Bayern München | 0.330 | 0.073 | $44.55 | −$155.45 |
| Will Stoke City FC win on 2026-10-13? · Yes | 0.250 | 0.020 | $20.00 | −$230.00 |
| Club Atlético de Madrid vs. Manchester United FC: O/U 3.5 · Over | 0.350 | 0.045 | $19.29 | −$130.71 |
| Colombia vs. DR Congo: O/U 2.5 · Over | 0.440 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$200.00 |
| Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-05-24? · Yes | 0.520 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$150.00 |
| Club Atlético de Madrid vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 3.5 · Over | 0.239 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$125.00 |
| Will Scotland win on 2026-06-19? · Yes | 0.160 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$125.00 |
| VfB Stuttgart vs. Viking FK: O/U 1.5 · Under | 0.085 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$50.00 |
| Spread: Real Madrid CF (-1.5) · Real Madrid CF | 0.520 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$500.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.8kat 0.624Norway vs. England: Team to Advance
- +$1.7kat 0.532Mexico vs. England: Team to Advance
- +$1.6kat 0.422Will Portugal win on 2026-10-01?
- +$1.6kat 0.557Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-01-31?
- +$1.5kat 0.344Wolverhampton Wanderers FC vs. Liverpool FC: O/U 2.5
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-13 20:06 | Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-10-13? | BUY | 0.35 | $350.00 |
| 10-13 17:58 | Club Atlético de Madrid vs. Manchester United FC: O/U 3.5 | BUY | 0.3499999997 | $150.00 |
| 10-13 17:58 | Club Atlético de Madrid vs. Manchester United FC: O/U 2.5 | BUY | 0.5799999998 | $570.00 |
| 10-13 17:57 | Spread: FC Barcelona (-1.5) | BUY | 0.5799999998 | $600.00 |
| 10-13 17:57 | Spread: FC Barcelona (-2.5) | BUY | 0.3699999998 | $250.00 |
| 10-13 17:57 | Spread: FC Bayern München (-3.5) | BUY | 0.3299999995 | $200.00 |
| 10-13 17:57 | Spread: FC Bayern München (-2.5) | BUY | 0.5099999999 | $500.00 |
| 10-13 17:56 | Will Middlesbrough FC win on 2026-10-13? | BUY | 0.5 | $500.00 |
| 10-13 17:56 | Will Stoke City FC win on 2026-10-13? | BUY | 0.25 | $250.00 |
| 10-12 20:44 | Coventry City FC vs. Newcastle United FC: O/U 3.5 | SELL | 0.999 | $706.43 |
| 10-12 20:28 | Will Coventry City FC vs. Newcastle United FC end in a draw? | BUY | 0.2799999998 | $156.68 |
| 10-12 20:12 | Will Coventry City FC vs. Newcastle United FC end in a draw? | BUY | 0.1499999999 | $100.00 |
| 10-12 20:11 | Will Coventry City FC vs. Newcastle United FC end in a draw? | BUY | 0.16 | $200.00 |
| 10-12 19:56 | Coventry City FC vs. Newcastle United FC: O/U 3.5 | BUY | 0.2857142857 | $100.00 |
| 10-12 19:55 | Coventry City FC vs. Newcastle United FC: O/U 4.5 | BUY | 0.11 | $59.29 |