rcg777
0x35be0d53912cac0bc5aa3edf6b604b44e7f2567e
- Realised P&L
- $42.01
- Volume
- $11.7k
- Markets traded
- 229
- Open portfolio
- $98.08
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded229
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration29.3% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)58.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration2.1% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$10.55at 0.968Will the highest temperature in Chicago be 54°F or higher on March 11?
- +$8.78at 0.500Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 29°C on April 18?
- +$4.00at 0.800Will the highest temperature in Paris be 14°C on April 21?
- +$3.80at 0.800Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 54-55°F on March 11?
- +$3.65at 0.550Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 66-67°F on April 19?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-10 11:09 | Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 3°C or below on October 12? | BUY | 0.999 | $1.00 |
| 10-10 08:27 | Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 27°C or below on October 12? | BUY | 0.999 | $1.00 |
| 10-10 08:27 | Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 28°C on October 12? | BUY | 0.999 | $1.00 |
| 10-10 08:27 | Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 29°C on October 12? | BUY | 0.999 | $1.00 |
| 10-10 08:27 | Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 30°C on October 12? | BUY | 0.999 | $1.00 |
| 10-10 08:24 | Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 29°C or below on October 12? | BUY | 0.999 | $1.00 |
| 10-10 08:24 | Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 30°C on October 12? | BUY | 0.999 | $1.00 |
| 10-10 08:24 | Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 31°C on October 12? | BUY | 0.999 | $1.00 |
| 10-10 08:19 | Will the highest temperature in Manila be 26°C or below on October 12? | BUY | 0.999 | $1.00 |
| 10-10 08:19 | Will the highest temperature in Manila be 27°C on October 12? | BUY | 0.999 | $1.00 |
| 10-10 08:17 | Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 29°C on October 12? | BUY | 0.999 | $1.00 |
| 10-10 08:11 | Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 10°C or below on October 12? | BUY | 0.999 | $1.00 |
| 10-10 08:11 | Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 11°C on October 12? | BUY | 0.999 | $1.00 |
| 10-10 08:09 | Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 26°C or below on October 12? | BUY | 0.999 | $1.00 |
| 10-10 08:09 | Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 27°C on October 12? | BUY | 0.999 | $1.00 |