0x35a8fa4b06aec9edc97d9d8347fbdd1377a9b6b8
0x35a8fa4b06aec9edc97d9d8347fbdd1377a9b6b8
- Realised P&L
- $5.3k
- Volume
- $86.6k
- Markets traded
- 13
- Open portfolio
- $568.40
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar6.1%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- BlockerMarkets traded13
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration56.2% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample12 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)41.7%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| LoL: MVK Esports vs Karmine Corp (BO5) - Worlds Play-In · MVK Esports | 0.170 | 0.025 | $568.40 | −$3.4k |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$3.0kat 0.764Will Croatia vs. England end in a draw?
- +$2.3kat 0.854Will Belgium win on 2026-10-05?
- +$19.78at 0.834Will Portugal win on 2026-09-24?
- +$16.98at 0.854Will Belarus win on 2026-09-26?
- +$0.19at 0.999Over $25M committed to the Jumper public sale?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-16 18:17 | LoL: MVK Esports vs Karmine Corp (BO5) - Worlds Play-In | SELL | 0.08 | $64.00 |
| 10-01 14:45 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.005 | $3.54 |
| 09-30 10:04 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.007 | $4.95 |
| 09-30 07:11 | Over $20M committed to the Jumper public sale? | BUY | 0.995 | $525.69 |