0x359c7fdce630f9bddb086d7c960333a5751867d5
- Realised P&L
- $-7.59
- Volume
- $31.04
- Markets traded
- 7
- Open portfolio
- $1.50
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-24.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded7
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- Not knownProfit concentration—
- No settled positions sampled.
- Not knownSettled sample0 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- CautionOpen concentration86.3% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? · Yes | 0.550 | 0.185 | $1.29 | −$2.55 |
| Will Donald Trump Jr. announce a presidential run before 2027? · Yes | 0.100 | 0.045 | $0.21 | −$0.25 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - January 20, 3AM ET · Up | 0.310 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$3.22 |
| Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by March 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.110 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$0.17 |
| Will Trump & Elon reduce the deficit in 2025? · Yes | 0.140 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$0.42 |
| Will the Memphis Grizzlies make the NBA Playoffs? · Yes | 0.210 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$0.32 |
| Cap on gambling loss deductions repealed by March 31? · Yes | 0.215 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$0.65 |
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01-07 12:06 | Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? | BUY | 0.55 | $1.50 |
| 01-07 12:05 | Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? | BUY | 0.55 | $1.50 |
| 01-07 12:00 | Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? | BUY | 0.55 | $0.84 |
| 01-07 11:49 | Cap on gambling loss deductions repealed by March 31? | BUY | 0.23 | $0.35 |
| 01-07 11:47 | Cap on gambling loss deductions repealed by March 31? | BUY | 0.2 | $0.30 |
| 01-07 11:44 | Will Trump & Elon reduce the deficit in 2025? | BUY | 0.14 | $0.21 |
| 01-07 11:40 | Will Donald Trump Jr. announce a presidential run before 2027? | BUY | 0.1 | $0.15 |
| 01-07 11:34 | Will Donald Trump Jr. announce a presidential run before 2027? | BUY | 0.1 | $0.15 |
| 01-07 11:10 | Will Trump & Elon reduce the deficit in 2025? | BUY | 0.14 | $0.21 |
| 01-07 10:29 | Will Donald Trump Jr. announce a presidential run before 2027? | BUY | 0.1 | $0.15 |
| 01-07 10:09 | Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by March 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.11 | $0.17 |
| 01-07 08:37 | Will the Memphis Grizzlies make the NBA Playoffs? | BUY | 0.21 | $0.32 |