0x3594Bc1929d4Ed6d79bcc09EB785Ef801632f872-1770483355056
0x3594bc1929d4ed6d79bcc09eb785ef801632f872
- Realised P&L
- $34.07
- Volume
- $18.5k
- Markets traded
- 62
- Open portfolio
- $218.13
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded62
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration19.1% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Putin out as President of Russia by August 31, 2026? · No | 0.988 | 0.992 | $218.13 | +$0.77 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$13.84at 0.960Will Donald Trump post 100-119 Truth Social posts from May 15 to May 22, 2026?
- +$13.05at 0.983Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by March 31, 2026?
- +$8.17at 0.989Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?
- +$7.69at 0.990Will NVIDIA (NVDA) finish week of March 2 above $215?
- +$6.40at 0.161Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-06 06:01 | Will the price of Solana be greater than $120 on August 8? | BUY | 0.999 | $152.59 |
| 08-06 06:00 | Putin out as President of Russia by August 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.988 | $217.36 |
| 08-02 16:01 | Will the price of Solana be greater than $120 on August 5? | BUY | 0.999 | $350.65 |
| 07-21 09:53 | Will Opendoor Technologies Inc. (OPEN) hit (HIGH) $7.50 in July? | BUY | 0.987 | $165.85 |
| 07-12 23:21 | Will Opendoor (OPEN) close at $8.00-$9.00 on the final day of trading of the week of Jul 13 – Jul 17? | BUY | 0.999 | $99.90 |
| 07-12 23:20 | Will Opendoor (OPEN) close at $1.00-$2.00 on the final day of trading of the week of Jul 13 – Jul 17? | BUY | 0.999 | $270.73 |
| 07-07 06:30 | Will the price of XRP be above $0.60 on July 9? | BUY | 0.999 | $119.88 |
| 07-07 06:30 | Will the price of XRP be above $1.60 on July 10? | BUY | 0.999 | $114.89 |
| 07-07 06:29 | Will the price of XRP be greater than $1.50 on July 9? | BUY | 0.998 | $84.83 |
| 07-01 23:24 | Will Opendoor (OPEN) finish week of June 29 above $2.00? | BUY | 0.999 | $114.89 |
| 07-01 23:22 | Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (LOW) $337.50 Week of June 29 2026? | BUY | 0.998 | $99.80 |
| 07-01 23:21 | Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (LOW) $330 Week of June 29 2026? | BUY | 0.998 | $99.80 |
| 06-24 23:24 | Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.193 | $38.60 |
| 06-24 23:23 | Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $3.80 in June? | BUY | 0.979 | $176.22 |
| 06-21 09:18 | Will XRP reach $2.20 in June? | BUY | 0.9959999943 | $43.00 |