0x3594Bc1929d4Ed6d79bcc09EB785Ef801632f872-1770483355056
0x3594bc1929d4ed6d79bcc09eb785ef801632f872
- Realised P&L
- $30.92
- Volume
- $20.2k
- Markets traded
- 77
- Open portfolio
- $375.30
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded77
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration14.3% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration72.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trump out as President by September 30? · No | 0.989 | 0.998 | $270.32 | +$2.30 |
| Will Netflix (NFLX) close at $110-$120 on the final day of trading of the week of Sep 21 – Sep 25? · No | 0.996 | 0.996 | $104.97 | −$0.03 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$13.15at 0.962Will Donald Trump post 100-119 Truth Social posts from May 15 to May 22, 2026?
- +$13.05at 0.983Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by March 31, 2026?
- +$8.17at 0.989Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?
- +$7.69at 0.990Will NVIDIA (NVDA) finish week of March 2 above $215?
- +$5.47at 0.161Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-20 04:18 | Will Netflix (NFLX) close at $110-$120 on the final day of trading of the week of Sep 21 – Sep 25? | BUY | 0.9957373083 | $105.00 |
| 09-14 01:55 | Will Opendoor (OPEN) close at <$1.00 on the final day of trading of the week of Sep 14 – Sep 18? | BUY | 0.999 | $99.90 |
| 09-10 05:59 | Trump out as President by September 30? | BUY | 0.989 | $268.02 |
| 09-06 08:33 | Will Opendoor (OPEN) close at >$10 on the final day of trading of the week of Sep 7 – Sep 11? | BUY | 0.998 | $99.80 |
| 09-05 09:57 | Will NYC Mayor post 0-19 posts from September 4 to September 11, 2026? | BUY | 0.99 | $267.30 |
| 09-05 09:56 | Will Ted Cruz post 0-19 posts from September 4 to September 11, 2026? | BUY | 0.998 | $99.80 |
| 09-01 07:28 | Will Netflix (NFLX) close at >$130 on the final day of trading of the week of Aug 31 – Sep 4? | BUY | 0.999 | $155.84 |
| 09-01 07:27 | Will Opendoor (OPEN) close at $8.00-$9.00 on the final day of trading of the week of Aug 31 – Sep 4? | BUY | 0.999 | $155.84 |
| 09-01 07:27 | Will Opendoor (OPEN) close at >$10 on the final day of trading of the week of Aug 31 – Sep 4? | BUY | 0.999 | $50.95 |
| 08-22 06:43 | Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping in August 2026? | BUY | 0.997 | $38.88 |
| 08-22 06:43 | Will Trump meet with Keir Starmer in August 2026? | BUY | 0.994 | $97.40 |
| 08-17 11:32 | Will Zelenskyy post 180-199 posts from August 14 to August 21, 2026? | BUY | 0.999 | $31.57 |
| 08-17 11:32 | Will Zelenskyy post 200+ posts from August 14 to August 21, 2026? | BUY | 0.999 | $21.58 |
| 08-17 11:28 | Will the price of Solana be above $130 on August 20? | BUY | 0.999 | $99.90 |
| 08-10 18:11 | Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (LOW) $2.00 Week of August 10 2026? | BUY | 0.999 | $146.85 |