zjensen
0x359097d4194ef4637c06c5ffaa6746cfd931f509
- Realised P&L
- $41.76
- Volume
- $11.4k
- Markets traded
- 78
- Open portfolio
- $38.58
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded78
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration86.7% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)86.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration79.2% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the highest temperature in Busan be 24°C on October 13? · No | 0.880 | 1.000 | $30.57 | +$3.67 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on October 18? · Yes | 0.680 | 0.435 | $8.01 | −$4.51 |
| Cardinals vs. Giants · Cardinals | 0.560 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$26.69 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$62.52at 0.424Will the highest temperature in NYC be between 37-38°F on February 14?
- +$9.90at 0.670Will Linke win between 20% and 23% of all valid second votes?
- +$8.98at 0.640Bitcoin above $95,000 on January 17?
- +$4.65at 0.775Will Elon Musk tweet 800 or more times February 7-14?
- +$0.44at 0.988Russian strike on Poland by September 30?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01-31 13:49 | Will XRP dip to $1.40 in January? | BUY | 0.999 | $3.98 |
| 01-30 15:53 | Will XRP dip to $1.20 in January? | BUY | 0.9969999998 | $4.20 |
| 01-30 14:54 | Will Tesla be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on February 28? | BUY | 0.998 | $10.09 |
| 01-30 14:13 | Will Solana dip to $80 in January? | BUY | 0.999 | $20.87 |
| 01-30 13:22 | Will Chainlink dip to $6 in January? | BUY | 0.999 | $33.42 |
| 12-30 00:02 | Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 by December 31, 2025? | BUY | 0.9929999995 | $8.16 |
| 12-29 23:42 | Will Z.ai have the top AI model on December 31? | BUY | 0.999 | $10.49 |
| 12-29 23:00 | Will OpenAI have the top AI model on December 31? | BUY | 0.998 | $27.81 |
| 12-29 21:17 | Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 by December 31, 2025? | BUY | 0.9969859416 | $20.63 |
| 10-30 22:07 | Will Solana reach $240 in October? | BUY | 0.999 | $18.13 |
| 10-30 20:12 | Will Solana reach $250 in October? | BUY | 0.999 | $16.04 |
| 09-29 16:34 | Will Mistral AI have the second best AI model on September 30? | BUY | 0.999 | $19.66 |
| 09-29 09:28 | Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping in September? | BUY | 0.999 | $14.08 |
| 09-28 20:25 | Russian strike on Poland by September 30? | BUY | 0.9879999748 | $17.39 |
| 09-28 20:15 | Russian strike on Poland by September 30? | BUY | 0.9879999998 | $18.82 |