PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

llell

0x358f99a4388bdd4ca493ac08e25e403d99346602

Realised P&L
$-113.04
Volume
$39.1k
Markets traded
130
Open portfolio
$70.44

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.3%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded130
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration79.7% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)10.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration74.5% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2027? · Yes0.5300.525$52.50−$0.50
Will the Los Angeles Rams win the 2027 NFL league championship? · Yes0.0800.085$17.00+$1.00
Metamask FDV above $700M one day after launch? · Yes0.7970.037$0.94−$19.06
Will Solana reach $180 in July? · No0.5500.000$0.00−$4.00
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.1100.000$0.00−$22.00
Will Navitas Semiconductor (NVTS) beat quarterly earnings? · No0.7700.000$0.00−$15.40
Will the announcers say "Bayern" during the Spain vs Austria FIFA World Cup Match? · No0.3800.000$0.00−$7.60

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-29 10:55Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2027?BUY0.53$53.00
09-11 01:55US x Iran diplomatic meeting by March 31, 2027?BUY0.54$54.00
07-14 15:08Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL0.56$22.40
07-07 02:30Will Cboe Futures Exchange self-certify sports event contracts by December 31, 2026?SELL0.07$1.40
07-02 14:59Iran leadership change by June 30, 2027?SELL0.22$11.00
07-02 14:21Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland by September 30, 2026?SELL0.27$13.50
07-02 10:19Will Lionel Messi score 8+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL0.3$6.00
07-02 10:18Will Phoebe Bridgers attend Taylor Swift's wedding?SELL0.23$2.14
07-02 10:18Israel withdraws from Lebanon by August 31, 2026?SELL0.05$2.50
07-02 10:18Will Ed Miliband be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026?SELL0.44$8.80
07-02 10:17Will Max Martin attend Taylor Swift's wedding?SELL0.36$18.00
07-02 10:17Will GPT-5.6 be released on July 7, 2026?SELL0.24$24.00
07-02 10:17Will G2 Esports win the EWC Valorant TournamentSELL0.81$40.50
07-02 08:38Will any AI model reach 1600 Math Arena Score by December 31, 2026?SELL0.11$2.20
07-02 08:30Will the announcers say "Nutmeg" or "Meg" during the Portugal vs Croatia FIFA World Cup Match?SELL0.22$1.09