llell
0x358f99a4388bdd4ca493ac08e25e403d99346602
- Realised P&L
- $-113.04
- Volume
- $39.1k
- Markets traded
- 130
- Open portfolio
- $70.44
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded130
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration79.7% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)10.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration74.5% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2027? · Yes | 0.530 | 0.525 | $52.50 | −$0.50 |
| Will the Los Angeles Rams win the 2027 NFL league championship? · Yes | 0.080 | 0.085 | $17.00 | +$1.00 |
| Metamask FDV above $700M one day after launch? · Yes | 0.797 | 0.037 | $0.94 | −$19.06 |
| Will Solana reach $180 in July? · No | 0.550 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$4.00 |
| Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes | 0.110 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$22.00 |
| Will Navitas Semiconductor (NVTS) beat quarterly earnings? · No | 0.770 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$15.40 |
| Will the announcers say "Bayern" during the Spain vs Austria FIFA World Cup Match? · No | 0.380 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$7.60 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$46.00at 0.540US x Iran diplomatic meeting by March 31, 2027?
- +$27.50at 0.500Will Solana hit $300 in March?
- +$19.32at 0.500Will the Fed Cut–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Dec–Jan–Mar)?
- +$15.00at 0.500Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by January 31, 2025?
- +$10.87at 0.276Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-29 10:55 | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2027? | BUY | 0.53 | $53.00 |
| 09-11 01:55 | US x Iran diplomatic meeting by March 31, 2027? | BUY | 0.54 | $54.00 |
| 07-14 15:08 | Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.56 | $22.40 |
| 07-07 02:30 | Will Cboe Futures Exchange self-certify sports event contracts by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.07 | $1.40 |
| 07-02 14:59 | Iran leadership change by June 30, 2027? | SELL | 0.22 | $11.00 |
| 07-02 14:21 | Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland by September 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.27 | $13.50 |
| 07-02 10:19 | Will Lionel Messi score 8+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.3 | $6.00 |
| 07-02 10:18 | Will Phoebe Bridgers attend Taylor Swift's wedding? | SELL | 0.23 | $2.14 |
| 07-02 10:18 | Israel withdraws from Lebanon by August 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.05 | $2.50 |
| 07-02 10:18 | Will Ed Miliband be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026? | SELL | 0.44 | $8.80 |
| 07-02 10:17 | Will Max Martin attend Taylor Swift's wedding? | SELL | 0.36 | $18.00 |
| 07-02 10:17 | Will GPT-5.6 be released on July 7, 2026? | SELL | 0.24 | $24.00 |
| 07-02 10:17 | Will G2 Esports win the EWC Valorant Tournament | SELL | 0.81 | $40.50 |
| 07-02 08:38 | Will any AI model reach 1600 Math Arena Score by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.11 | $2.20 |
| 07-02 08:30 | Will the announcers say "Nutmeg" or "Meg" during the Portugal vs Croatia FIFA World Cup Match? | SELL | 0.22 | $1.09 |