meteophilia
0x358bf4c992767dc606a1d7dff6a3d95dd5a43722
- Realised P&L
- $4.4k
- Volume
- $443.6k
- Markets traded
- 2,722
- Open portfolio
- $6.08
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar1.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded2,722
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration18.7% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)52.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration41.3% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$689.52at 0.024Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 14°C on May 24?
- +$554.63at 0.042Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 28°C or higher on May 4?
- +$440.24at 0.024Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 20°C on June 9?
- +$402.99at 0.026Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 18°C on June 4?
- +$339.09at 0.086Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 34°C or below on June 13?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-20 15:41 | Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on September 21? | BUY | 0.0599999989 | $1.12 |
| 09-20 15:25 | Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 17°C on September 21? | SELL | 0.03 | $0.90 |
| 09-20 15:25 | Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on September 21? | SELL | 0.27 | $1.60 |
| 09-20 13:41 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 24°C on September 21? | BUY | 0.002 | $0.11 |
| 09-20 13:41 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 26°C on September 21? | BUY | 0.1099999983 | $1.30 |
| 09-20 13:40 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 25°C on September 21? | BUY | 0.0089999999 | $1.00 |
| 09-20 13:32 | Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 16°C on September 22? | BUY | 0.1399999832 | $1.00 |
| 09-20 13:31 | Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 17°C on September 21? | BUY | 0.04 | $1.20 |
| 09-20 13:31 | Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on September 21? | BUY | 0.279999973 | $1.66 |
| 09-20 12:37 | Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 16°C on September 22? | BUY | 0.14 | $2.19 |
| 09-20 12:32 | Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 18°C on September 20? | BUY | 0.01 | $1.00 |
| 09-18 13:33 | Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 17°C on September 18? | SELL | 0.2 | $2.15 |
| 09-18 13:01 | Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 16°C on September 18? | SELL | 0.7187246226 | $55.23 |
| 09-18 07:09 | Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 16°C on September 18? | BUY | 0.1253900691 | $1.36 |
| 09-18 07:09 | Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 14°C on September 18? | BUY | 0.008 | $1.05 |