PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

meteophilia

0x358bf4c992767dc606a1d7dff6a3d95dd5a43722

Realised P&L
$4.4k
Volume
$443.6k
Markets traded
2,722
Open portfolio
$6.08

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar1.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded2,722
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
ClearProfit concentration18.7% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)52.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration41.3% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 16°C on September 22? · Yes0.1400.110$2.51$0.68
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on September 21? · Yes0.0600.065$1.21+$0.09
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 17°C on September 22? · Yes0.2000.205$1.02+$0.03
Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 26°C on September 21? · Yes0.1100.085$1.00$0.30
Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 25°C on September 21? · Yes0.0090.002$0.17$0.83
Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 24°C on September 21? · Yes0.0020.002$0.11+$0.00
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 18°C on September 20? · Yes0.0100.001$0.05$0.95
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 32°C on July 9? · Yes0.0620.000$0.00$10.92
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 22°C on May 29? · Yes0.0780.000$0.00$16.55
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 26°C on June 9? · Yes0.0160.000$0.00$5.23
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on May 15? · Yes0.1160.000$0.00$7.50
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 25°C or higher on May 28? · Yes0.0250.000$0.00$3.50
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 66-67°F on June 24? · Yes0.2480.000$0.00$13.17
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 25°C on July 22? · Yes0.0620.000$0.00$4.40
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 64-65°F on May 31? · Yes0.0230.000$0.00$5.92

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-20 15:41Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on September 21?BUY0.0599999989$1.12
09-20 15:25Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 17°C on September 21?SELL0.03$0.90
09-20 15:25Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on September 21?SELL0.27$1.60
09-20 13:41Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 24°C on September 21?BUY0.002$0.11
09-20 13:41Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 26°C on September 21?BUY0.1099999983$1.30
09-20 13:40Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 25°C on September 21?BUY0.0089999999$1.00
09-20 13:32Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 16°C on September 22?BUY0.1399999832$1.00
09-20 13:31Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 17°C on September 21?BUY0.04$1.20
09-20 13:31Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on September 21?BUY0.279999973$1.66
09-20 12:37Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 16°C on September 22?BUY0.14$2.19
09-20 12:32Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 18°C on September 20?BUY0.01$1.00
09-18 13:33Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 17°C on September 18?SELL0.2$2.15
09-18 13:01Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 16°C on September 18?SELL0.7187246226$55.23
09-18 07:09Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 16°C on September 18?BUY0.1253900691$1.36
09-18 07:09Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 14°C on September 18?BUY0.008$1.05