PolyBot

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Traders

PavelSvimbov

0x3587f3eff7f17a7971122bc0e2c625ea6a500d34

Realised P&L
$-141.02
Volume
$11.6k
Markets traded
34
Open portfolio
$178.60

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.2%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded34
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration38.5% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample31 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)83.9%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Russia capture Dobropillia by March 31, 2027? · Yes0.4940.470$178.60−$9.00
Will Ukraine target Moscow by August 26, 2026? · No0.9500.000$0.00−$58.90
Russia Elections: United Russia Wins Every Region? · No0.3900.000$0.00−$7.80

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-30 12:46Will Russia capture Dobropillia by March 31, 2027?BUY0.5$150.00
10-12 16:32Will Russia capture all of Bilytske by December 31?BUY0.58$29.00
10-11 13:38Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election?SELL0.13$6.50
10-10 17:23Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by June 30, 2027?BUY0.2$2.00
10-10 17:23Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by June 30, 2027?BUY0.1983774136$24.45
10-10 17:22Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by June 30, 2027?BUY0.19$3.80
08-25 15:00Will Ukraine target Moscow by August 26, 2026?BUY0.95$58.90
08-25 14:25Will Russia announce a new forced mobilization by September 30, 2026?BUY0.93$132.32
04-25 20:24Will Ukraine re-enter Rodynske by April 30?BUY0.999$10.09
04-25 20:24Will Ukraine re-enter Rodynske by April 30?BUY0.999$60.04
04-05 07:54US forces enter Iran by April 30?BUY0.999$130.07
12-16 16:34Will Russia capture Huliaipole by December 31?BUY0.33$1.65
12-16 16:33Will Russia capture Huliaipole by December 31?BUY0.31$30.91
12-16 16:11Will Russia capture Huliaipole by January 31?BUY0.7799999728$1.72
12-16 15:47Will lighter perform an airdrop by December 31? SELL0.86$1.72