0x35833e394551a5c5db7813da7a56935b775765e1
- Realised P&L
- $-76.01
- Volume
- $5.4k
- Markets traded
- 52
- Open portfolio
- $11.38
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded52
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration29.7% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample48 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)45.8%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration41.1% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shamrock Rovers FC vs. KF Egnatia Rrogozhinë: Team to Advance · Shamrock Rovers FC | 0.990 | 0.910 | $4.68 | −$0.41 |
| Will Bayern Munich win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? · Yes | 0.140 | 0.135 | $3.00 | −$0.11 |
| Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · Yes | 0.278 | 0.234 | $1.93 | −$0.37 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31? · No | 0.840 | 0.875 | $1.77 | +$0.07 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$44.11at 0.361Will Rory McIlroy win the 2026 Masters tournament?
- +$13.35at 0.350Brazil vs. Norway: Team to Advance
- +$12.80at 0.460Will Norway win on 2026-06-30?
- +$10.15at 0.770Will France win on 2026-06-30?
- +$9.17at 0.630Will France win on 2026-07-09?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-05 13:35 | Shamrock Rovers FC vs. KF Egnatia Rrogozhinë: Team to Advance | BUY | 0.99 | $5.09 |
| 08-05 13:35 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31? | BUY | 0.8399996442 | $1.70 |
| 08-04 21:23 | Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.2779999226 | $2.30 |
| 08-03 22:21 | Will Bayern Munich win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? | BUY | 0.1399999658 | $3.11 |
| 07-20 08:23 | Trump out as President before 2027? | SELL | 0.07 | $0.41 |
| 07-20 08:23 | Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | SELL | 0.117 | $12.49 |
| 07-17 15:13 | Will Spain win on 2026-07-19? | BUY | 0.4299999979 | $52.69 |
| 07-15 14:25 | Will England win on 2026-07-15? | BUY | 0.3574999906 | $18.39 |
| 07-14 16:17 | Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.214 | $3.15 |
| 07-14 16:16 | Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.225 | $31.74 |
| 07-08 20:51 | Will France win on 2026-07-09? | BUY | 0.6299999903 | $15.62 |
| 07-06 21:08 | Will United States win on 2026-07-06? | BUY | 0.3899999903 | $10.49 |
| 07-05 21:19 | Brazil vs. Norway: Team to Advance | BUY | 0.3499999708 | $7.19 |
| 07-05 07:24 | Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.0679999383 | $1.00 |
| 07-02 15:43 | Will Croatia win on 2026-07-02? | BUY | 0.1724999636 | $3.29 |