0xFc19A54B7D9320742dE766437F8854D9935Bb400-1773461586762
0x3582673601d3e141215253a3d3b90486c7b965c6
- Realised P&L
- $-224.39
- Volume
- $12.3k
- Markets traded
- 148
- Open portfolio
- $114.06
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded148
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration21.6% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration21.8% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$60.80at 0.199Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 19°C or higher on April 3?
- +$32.07at 0.706Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 78-79°F on May 28?
- +$27.28at 0.288Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 27°C or higher on March 28?
- +$14.89at 0.720Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be 76°F or higher on May 31?
- +$14.03at 0.597Will the highest temperature in Dallas be 84°F or higher on April 2?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-15 03:49 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on October 15? | BUY | 0.949 | $23.72 |
| 10-12 11:40 | Will Donald Trump post 140-159 Truth Social posts from October 9 to October 16, 2026? | BUY | 0.16 | $16.05 |
| 10-12 11:30 | Will Donald Trump post 180-199 Truth Social posts from October 9 to October 16, 2026? | BUY | 0.7529999996 | $18.62 |
| 10-11 14:58 | Will Donald Trump post 160-179 Truth Social posts from October 9 to October 16, 2026? | BUY | 0.08 | $3.68 |
| 10-08 16:03 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on October 9? | BUY | 0.93 | $24.18 |
| 10-08 16:03 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on October 9? | BUY | 0.948 | $23.70 |
| 10-08 09:15 | Will Donald Trump post 180-199 Truth Social posts from October 6 to October 13, 2026? | BUY | 0.064 | $0.62 |
| 10-02 05:11 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on October 2? | BUY | 0.95 | $23.75 |
| 09-18 16:06 | Will Donald Trump post 200+ Truth Social posts from September 18 to September 25, 2026? | BUY | 0.8 | $20.00 |
| 09-15 20:24 | Will Donald Trump post 60-79 Truth Social posts from September 15 to September 22, 2026? | BUY | 0.05 | $0.25 |
| 09-14 20:54 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on September 15? | BUY | 0.89 | $23.14 |
| 09-14 20:35 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,700 on September 15? | BUY | 0.873 | $13.10 |
| 09-14 18:58 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on September 15? | BUY | 0.938 | $23.45 |
| 09-10 21:04 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on September 11? | BUY | 0.95 | $23.75 |
| 09-03 16:02 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on September 4? | BUY | 0.903 | $23.48 |