0x357a60E70B1FcdC83488e1a4F744Df31A4DB88Df-1781690225911
0x357a60e70b1fcdc83488e1a4f744df31a4db88df
- Realised P&L
- $-413.35
- Volume
- $16.6k
- Markets traded
- 107
- Open portfolio
- $11.80
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded107
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration23.4% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)56.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on September 20? · No | 0.900 | 0.885 | $11.80 | −$0.20 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$201.68at 0.092Exact Score: England 2 - 1 DR Congo?
- +$95.99at 0.467Will Norway win on 2026-06-30?
- +$94.61at 0.517Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-19?
- +$85.55at 0.267Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on June 20?
- +$67.29at 0.782Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 28°C on June 30?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-18 16:49 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on September 20? | BUY | 0.9 | $12.00 |
| 08-25 12:13 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on August 26? | BUY | 0.8899999947 | $10.00 |
| 07-02 08:40 | Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 29°C on July 2? | BUY | 0.863662056 | $200.00 |
| 07-02 07:00 | Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 29°C on July 2? | BUY | 0.6766680927 | $20.00 |
| 07-02 05:35 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on July 2? | BUY | 0.16 | $5.00 |
| 07-02 05:13 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on July 2? | SELL | 0.55 | $26.06 |
| 07-02 03:59 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on July 2? | BUY | 0.4219823309 | $20.00 |
| 07-01 09:32 | Will England win on 2026-07-01? | BUY | 0.7699999963 | $40.00 |
| 07-01 09:11 | Exact Score: England 1 - 1 DR Congo? | BUY | 0.089999996 | $20.00 |
| 07-01 09:11 | Exact Score: England 2 - 1 DR Congo? | BUY | 0.089999996 | $20.00 |
| 07-01 09:11 | Exact Score: England 2 - 0 DR Congo? | BUY | 0.1799999928 | $20.00 |
| 07-01 09:10 | Exact Score: England 1 - 0 DR Congo? | BUY | 0.16 | $20.00 |
| 07-01 08:43 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on July 1? | SELL | 0.996 | $126.15 |
| 07-01 07:39 | Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 31°C on July 1? | BUY | 0.75 | $5.92 |
| 07-01 06:09 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C on July 1? | SELL | 0.0414472538 | $3.90 |