eng1
0x35784d1bed0d4392ee49c21ca581cb39a952804f
- Realised P&L
- $-10.2k
- Volume
- $88.7k
- Markets traded
- 66
- Open portfolio
- $1.7k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-11.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded66
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration23.7% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)58.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration32.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pacifica FDV above $800M one day after launch? · No | 0.825 | 0.958 | $538.54 | +$74.96 |
| Ethereum all time high by September 30, 2026? · No | 0.680 | 0.999 | $304.54 | +$97.24 |
| Ethereum all time high by December 31, 2026? · No | 0.630 | 0.951 | $285.30 | +$96.30 |
| Pacifica FDV above $500M one day after launch? · No | 0.760 | 0.949 | $283.07 | +$56.12 |
| Pacifica FDV above $300M one day after launch? · No | 0.767 | 0.951 | $238.27 | +$46.08 |
| Record crypto liquidation in 2026? · Yes | 0.180 | 0.082 | $9.89 | −$11.81 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.8kat 0.350MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?
- +$1.5kat 0.632Will the price of Bitcoin be between $94,000 and $96,000 on January 6?
- +$1.2kat 0.866Over $120M committed to the Ranger public sale?
- +$733.85at 0.632Will the price of Bitcoin be between $92,000 and $94,000 on January 5?
- +$701.54at 0.650Will the price of Bitcoin be between $86,000 and $88,000 on December 27?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-19 16:11 | Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advance | BUY | 0.5925 | $292.75 |
| 02-25 14:19 | Will MEXC be accused of insider trading? | BUY | 0.9299999999 | $431.65 |
| 02-17 17:43 | Did Avenir Tech LTD blow up? | BUY | 0.897 | $179.40 |
| 02-08 04:54 | Did Avenir Tech LTD blow up? | BUY | 0.92 | $107.64 |
| 02-08 04:44 | Did Avenir Tech LTD blow up? | BUY | 0.92 | $153.64 |
| 02-08 04:39 | Did Avenir Tech LTD blow up? | BUY | 0.92 | $269.30 |
| 02-08 04:35 | Did Avenir Tech LTD blow up? | BUY | 0.88 | $90.93 |
| 02-08 04:35 | Did Avenir Tech LTD blow up? | BUY | 0.87 | $21.75 |
| 02-08 04:35 | Did Avenir Tech LTD blow up? | BUY | 0.8675200873 | $87.45 |
| 02-04 15:08 | Over $30M committed to the Hurupay public sale? | BUY | 0.05 | $65.00 |
| 02-04 15:07 | Over $70M committed to the Hurupay public sale? | BUY | 0.0078727762 | $7.43 |
| 02-04 15:06 | Over $7M committed to the Hurupay public sale? | BUY | 0.1976857209 | $8.54 |
| 02-04 15:04 | Over $7M committed to the Hurupay public sale? | BUY | 0.19 | $3.80 |
| 02-03 18:59 | Over $40M committed to the Hurupay public sale? | BUY | 0.041336546 | $6.86 |
| 02-03 18:59 | Over $30M committed to the Hurupay public sale? | BUY | 0.0492347045 | $42.73 |