LLLLLukee
0x3576157c558d863520d6454752f1797245a6e553
- Realised P&L
- $49.00
- Volume
- $5.0k
- Markets traded
- 118
- Open portfolio
- $1.0k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar1.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded118
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration20.3% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)86.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration59.1% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$17.44at 0.163Will the Bank of Israel cut by 25 bps at the August 2026 meeting?
- +$15.29at 0.329Will GitHub's longest critical incident in August 2026 be between 6 and 12 hours?
- +$9.16at 0.135GitHub.com critical incident by August 31, 2026?
- +$5.32at 0.482Will "The Pitt" win 2 or 3 awards at the Emmys?
- +$5.00at 0.961Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (LOW) $435 in August?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-14 18:54 | Will United Russia win the next Khanty-Mansi Autonomous Okrug Parliament elections? | BUY | 0.9836096784 | $63.00 |
| 09-14 18:50 | Will United Russia win the next Karelia Parliament elections? | BUY | 0.9779999999 | $50.00 |
| 09-14 18:43 | Will United Russia win the next Chechnya Parliament elections? | BUY | 0.9862504496 | $250.00 |
| 09-14 18:16 | Will Grüne win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections? | BUY | 0.9909999999 | $59.00 |
| 09-14 18:03 | Will Dzambolat Tedeev win the 2026 South Ossetia presidential elections? | BUY | 0.9984509177 | $600.00 |
| 09-04 13:32 | Will monthly inflation decrease by 0.3% or more in August? | BUY | 0.998 | $300.00 |
| 09-04 13:17 | Will JD Vance’s remarks not air? | BUY | 0.9963715692 | $140.00 |
| 09-04 13:14 | Will the earnings call not air? | BUY | 0.9978690793 | $300.00 |
| 09-04 13:11 | Will the earnings call not air? | BUY | 0.9983128399 | $250.00 |
| 08-29 12:15 | Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (LOW) $435 in August? | BUY | 0.9591382112 | $122.00 |
| 08-22 17:24 | Will Trump speak to Kim Jong Un in August? | BUY | 0.9679999993 | $23.00 |
| 08-22 17:15 | Will Trump praise Warren Buffett in August? | BUY | 0.83 | $21.00 |
| 08-22 17:11 | Will Warsh’s remarks not air? | BUY | 0.98 | $25.00 |
| 08-22 16:59 | Will the earnings call not air? | BUY | 0.9976009577 | $100.00 |
| 08-22 08:58 | Will the Bank of Israel decrease the Bank of Israel Interest Rate after the September decision? | BUY | 0.82 | $16.50 |