0x357591d2a1338349bd5a7bd1c0dfbd2f57af75cc
0x357591d2a1338349bd5a7bd1c0dfbd2f57af75cc
- Realised P&L
- $-108.17
- Volume
- $1.6k
- Markets traded
- 52
- Open portfolio
- $22.79
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-6.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded52
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration69.9% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample47 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)14.9%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration93.6% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Trump say "Ballroom" during his evening remarks with Xi Jinping? · Yes | 0.000 | 0.996 | $21.32 | +$21.32 |
| Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes | 0.150 | 0.164 | $1.09 | +$0.09 |
| Trump out as President before 2027? · Yes | 0.140 | 0.045 | $0.32 | −$0.68 |
| Will Trump say "China" 5+ times during his evening remarks with Xi Jinping? · Yes | 0.000 | 0.004 | $0.06 | +$0.06 |
| Phan Thiet 3: Philip Sekulic vs Koki Matsuda · Koki Matsuda | 0.414 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$80.82at 0.110Will Elon Musk post 520-539 tweets from January 13 to January 20, 2026?
- +$11.22at 0.211Will the Seattle Seahawks win Super Bowl 2026?
- +$8.75at 0.263Will Norway vs. England end in a draw?
- +$8.08at 0.512Will the announcers say "Maradona" or "Pelé" during the Argentina vs Spain FIFA World Cup Match?
- +$2.48at 0.810Will the announcers say "Goal" 60+ times during the Spain vs Belgium FIFA World Cup Match?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-24 19:54 | Will Trump say "China" 5+ times during his evening remarks with Xi Jinping? | BUY | 0.4899999984 | $6.00 |
| 09-24 19:25 | Will Trump say "Ballroom" during his evening remarks with Xi Jinping? | BUY | 0.3449834735 | $7.39 |
| 09-10 16:46 | Phan Thiet 3: Philip Sekulic vs Koki Matsuda | BUY | 0.4139999892 | $1.00 |
| 08-15 04:18 | Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.1499998875 | $1.00 |
| 07-19 19:34 | Will the announcers say "Maradona" or "Pelé" during the Argentina vs Spain FIFA World Cup Match? | SELL | 0.99 | $16.95 |
| 07-19 18:52 | Will the announcers say "Maradona" or "Pelé" during the Argentina vs Spain FIFA World Cup Match? | BUY | 0.5 | $8.56 |
| 07-19 18:52 | Will the announcers say "Shakira" during the Argentina vs Spain FIFA World Cup Match? | SELL | 0.61 | $8.96 |
| 07-19 18:51 | Will the announcers say "Shakira" during the Argentina vs Spain FIFA World Cup Match? | BUY | 0.6299999367 | $9.26 |
| 07-19 18:51 | Will the announcers say "Trump" during the Argentina vs Spain FIFA World Cup Match? | BUY | 0.6699999894 | $3.16 |
| 07-18 21:15 | Will the announcers say "Crossbar" during the France vs England FIFA World Cup Match? | BUY | 0.2799999515 | $3.00 |
| 07-16 19:58 | Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.4169999748 | $5.00 |
| 07-12 23:57 | Will Jude Bellingham win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.1904678081 | $5.00 |
| 07-12 01:39 | Will the announcers say "Aggressive" or "Aggression" during the Argentina vs Switzerland FIFA World Cup Match? | BUY | 0.5 | $3.00 |
| 07-11 19:01 | Will Norway vs. England end in a draw? | BUY | 0.2524999396 | $3.00 |
| 07-11 18:00 | Will the announcers say "Trump" during the Norway vs England FIFA World Cup Match? | BUY | 0.1899999535 | $2.86 |