IowaDreams
0x35748197e02e123bd738005201b74c7aec5ad1a9
- Realised P&L
- $-16.40
- Volume
- $12.7k
- Markets traded
- 9
- Open portfolio
- $5.16
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded9
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration50.4% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample8 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)62.5%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Prabowo Subianto cease to be President of Indonesia by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.080 | 0.043 | $5.16 | −$4.44 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$7.33at 0.450Will Trump say 'tariff' 5+ times times during the 2025 State of the Union?
- +$5.63at 0.640Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
- +$0.86at 0.921Will Michelle Obama win the 2024 Democratic Presidential Nomination?
- +$0.56at 0.900Bitcoin above $84,000 on March 7?
- +$0.18at 0.971Will Friedrich Merz be the next Chancellor of Germany?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03-03 08:29 | Bitcoin above $84,000 on March 7? | BUY | 0.899999892 | $5.00 |
| 03-03 08:28 | Will Friedrich Merz be the next Chancellor of Germany? | BUY | 0.9709999442 | $6.00 |
| 03-03 08:28 | Will Trump say 'tariff' 5+ times times during the 2025 State of the Union? | BUY | 0.44999997 | $6.00 |
| 09-08 17:28 | Will 'Despicable Me 4' gross most in 2024? | BUY | 0.003 | $3.00 |
| 06-29 19:02 | Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.64 | $10.00 |
| 06-29 19:01 | Will Mike Pence win the 2024 Republican VP nomination? | BUY | 0.002 | $13.00 |
| 06-29 19:00 | Will Michelle Obama win the 2024 Democratic Presidential Nomination? | BUY | 0.9209999261 | $10.00 |
| 06-29 19:00 | Will Joe Biden win the 2024 Democratic Presidential Nomination? | BUY | 0.75 | $10.00 |