bigtuna88
0x35734aa0a904852b1a35e20055450a87f509971a
- Realised P&L
- $90.72
- Volume
- $9.8k
- Markets traded
- 140
- Open portfolio
- $179.37
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded140
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration6.2% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)94.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration85.9% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the San Diego Padres win the 2026 World Series? · Yes | 0.064 | 0.096 | $154.01 | +$52.01 |
| San Diego Padres vs. Milwaukee Brewers · San Diego Padres | 0.350 | 0.355 | $25.36 | +$0.36 |
| Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Colorado Rockies · Colorado Rockies | 0.510 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
| Will Norway win on 2026-07-11? · Yes | 0.190 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
| San Diego Padres vs. Arizona Diamondbacks · San Diego Padres | 0.020 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$3.00 |
| San Diego Padres vs. Los Angeles Dodgers · San Diego Padres | 0.228 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$25.00 |
| Philadelphia Phillies vs. Minnesota Twins · Minnesota Twins | 0.254 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$12.00 |
| San Diego Padres vs. Tampa Bay Rays · San Diego Padres | 0.116 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$12.00 |
| San Diego Padres vs. New York Mets · San Diego Padres | 0.399 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$13.00 |
| Pittsburgh Pirates vs. San Diego Padres · San Diego Padres | 0.203 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$7.40 |
| MLB All-Star Game · National League | 0.560 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$15.00 |
| Will United States win on 2026-07-06? · Yes | 0.130 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
| San Diego Padres vs. Cincinnati Reds · San Diego Padres | 0.550 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$12.00 |
| San Diego Padres vs. Arizona Diamondbacks · San Diego Padres | 0.231 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$11.00 |
| San Diego Padres vs. Baltimore Orioles · San Diego Padres | 0.100 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$50.87at 0.195Will Norway win on 2026-07-05?
- +$41.52at 0.272Minnesota Twins vs. San Diego Padres
- +$39.88at 0.361Washington Nationals vs. San Diego Padres
- +$38.16at 0.351San Diego Padres vs. Los Angeles Dodgers
- +$34.45at 0.232Boston Red Sox vs. Texas Rangers
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-02 15:47 | San Diego Padres vs. Milwaukee Brewers | BUY | 0.3499999972 | $25.00 |
| 09-30 18:04 | Chicago Cubs vs. San Diego Padres | BUY | 0.5699999886 | $20.00 |
| 09-30 01:10 | Boston Red Sox vs. New York Yankees | BUY | 0.32 | $2.00 |
| 09-30 00:52 | Boston Red Sox vs. New York Yankees | BUY | 0.3899999945 | $5.00 |
| 09-29 14:59 | Chicago Cubs vs. San Diego Padres | BUY | 0.5499999934 | $25.00 |
| 09-27 20:00 | Arizona Diamondbacks vs. San Diego Padres | BUY | 0.6499999909 | $25.00 |
| 09-26 18:56 | Arizona Diamondbacks vs. San Diego Padres | BUY | 0.5499999934 | $25.00 |
| 09-26 03:05 | Arizona Diamondbacks vs. San Diego Padres | BUY | 0.0699999999 | $10.00 |
| 09-26 02:15 | Arizona Diamondbacks vs. San Diego Padres | BUY | 0.2699999978 | $15.00 |
| 09-25 21:11 | Arizona Diamondbacks vs. San Diego Padres | BUY | 0.5499999807 | $10.00 |
| 09-24 14:27 | Will the San Diego Padres win the 2026 World Series? | BUY | 0.0664767242 | $100.00 |
| 09-24 14:27 | San Diego Padres vs. Los Angeles Dodgers | BUY | 0.3899999945 | $20.00 |
| 09-23 19:19 | San Diego Padres vs. Los Angeles Dodgers | BUY | 0.3399999966 | $20.00 |
| 09-23 02:53 | San Diego Padres vs. Los Angeles Dodgers | BUY | 0.1299999999 | $10.00 |
| 09-22 15:03 | San Diego Padres vs. Los Angeles Dodgers | BUY | 0.4599999951 | $15.00 |