Brokeguy451
0x356600c779ed4885c61a785acea2d7128bcca427
- Realised P&L
- $-323.61
- Volume
- $11.6k
- Markets traded
- 72
- Open portfolio
- $137.27
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded72
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration77.4% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)6.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration46.2% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will there be between 5 and 10 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on September 30? · No | 0.640 | 0.580 | $63.43 | −$6.56 |
| Will Eurozone annual GDP growth in 2026 be between 0% and 1.0%? · Yes | 0.653 | 0.495 | $26.53 | −$8.47 |
| Will South Korea GDP growth in Q3 2026 be between 2.5% and 2.9%? · Yes | 0.590 | 0.415 | $24.62 | −$10.38 |
| Will “Choosin' Texas” by Ella Langley win Music Video of the Year at the 2026 CMA Awards? · Yes | 0.640 | 0.415 | $22.69 | −$12.30 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$6.16at 0.450Will Lorenia Valles Sampedro win the 2027 Sonora Governor Election?
- +$3.98at 0.333Will Alexandre Curi win the most votes in the 2026 Paraná Senate election?
- +$1.13at 0.771Will Deltan Dallagnol win the most votes in the 2026 Paraná Senate election?
- +$0.04at 0.110Will OpenAI be the second-best AI Agent Lab at the end of September 2026?
- +$0.00at 0.820Will Gears of War: E-Day win Best Multiplayer at the 2026 Game Awards?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-22 01:12 | Anthropic lab leak by June 30, 2027? | SELL | 0.08 | $18.06 |
| 09-21 23:53 | Will one person dissent the December Fed decision? | SELL | 0.6797726131 | $10.82 |
| 09-21 23:53 | Will one person dissent the December Fed decision? | SELL | 0.802 | $16.04 |
| 09-21 15:55 | Will world GDP growth be 3.1% in 2026? | SELL | 0.704 | $17.27 |
| 09-20 22:27 | Will Xi Jinping visit US by September 23? | SELL | 0.907 | $32.43 |
| 09-20 06:30 | Will Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins win the 2026 Alaska governor election? | SELL | 0.1654594533 | $28.81 |
| 09-20 04:32 | Will the Bank of Korea hike by 25 bps at the November 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.1003297998 | $4.26 |
| 09-20 04:32 | Will the Bank of Korea hike by 25 bps at the November 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.15 | $2.10 |
| 09-19 18:56 | Will Morgan Wallen be the Billboard #1 top artist in 2026? | SELL | 0.152 | $5.39 |
| 09-19 18:55 | Will there be 20 to 34 West Nile neuroinvasive disease cases among NYC residents in 2026? | SELL | 0.41 | $38.68 |
| 09-19 15:53 | Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | SELL | 0.258 | $34.46 |
| 09-18 21:08 | Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.4647001316 | $49.43 |
| 09-18 19:29 | Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | SELL | 0.1617231531 | $66.99 |
| 09-18 14:33 | Will any state enact a data center moratorium by December 31? | SELL | 0.512 | $26.58 |
| 09-18 13:05 | Will Xi Jinping visit US by September 23? | SELL | 0.94 | $33.13 |