PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

Brokeguy451

0x356600c779ed4885c61a785acea2d7128bcca427

Realised P&L
$-323.61
Volume
$11.6k
Markets traded
72
Open portfolio
$137.27

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-2.8%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded72
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration77.4% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)6.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration46.2% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will there be between 5 and 10 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on September 30? · No0.6400.580$63.43$6.56
Will Eurozone annual GDP growth in 2026 be between 0% and 1.0%? · Yes0.6530.495$26.53$8.47
Will South Korea GDP growth in Q3 2026 be between 2.5% and 2.9%? · Yes0.5900.415$24.62$10.38
Will “Choosin' Texas” by Ella Langley win Music Video of the Year at the 2026 CMA Awards? · Yes0.6400.415$22.69$12.30

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-22 01:12Anthropic lab leak by June 30, 2027?SELL0.08$18.06
09-21 23:53Will one person dissent the December Fed decision?SELL0.6797726131$10.82
09-21 23:53Will one person dissent the December Fed decision?SELL0.802$16.04
09-21 15:55Will world GDP growth be 3.1% in 2026?SELL0.704$17.27
09-20 22:27Will Xi Jinping visit US by September 23?SELL0.907$32.43
09-20 06:30Will Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins win the 2026 Alaska governor election?SELL0.1654594533$28.81
09-20 04:32Will the Bank of Korea hike by 25 bps at the November 2026 meeting?SELL0.1003297998$4.26
09-20 04:32Will the Bank of Korea hike by 25 bps at the November 2026 meeting?SELL0.15$2.10
09-19 18:56Will Morgan Wallen be the Billboard #1 top artist in 2026?SELL0.152$5.39
09-19 18:55Will there be 20 to 34 West Nile neuroinvasive disease cases among NYC residents in 2026?SELL0.41$38.68
09-19 15:53Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?SELL0.258$34.46
09-18 21:08Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026?SELL0.4647001316$49.43
09-18 19:29Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?SELL0.1617231531$66.99
09-18 14:33Will any state enact a data center moratorium by December 31?SELL0.512$26.58
09-18 13:05Will Xi Jinping visit US by September 23?SELL0.94$33.13