0x355ffcD7018fa27a142569049d2f7Ea03A26651D-1771959805945
0x355ffcd7018fa27a142569049d2f7ea03a26651d
- Realised P&L
- $-142.99
- Volume
- $5.2k
- Markets traded
- 30
- Open portfolio
- $140.79
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded30
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration28.9% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample28 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Nashville SC win the 2026 MLS Cup? · Yes | 0.055 | 0.157 | $140.79 | +$91.58 |
| Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? · Yes | 0.210 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$72.90 |
| Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? · No | 0.240 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$301.51 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$73.79at 0.580Will CS Cristal win on 2026-03-07?
- +$35.62at 0.584US strikes Iran by March 15, 2026?
- +$32.91at 0.160Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
- +$31.88at 0.682Will Bruno Fernandes win the 2026 PFA Player of the Year?
- +$30.56at 0.620Real Madrid CF vs. Getafe CF: Both Teams to Score
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-25 19:39 | Will Bruno Fernandes win the 2026 PFA Player of the Year? | SELL | 0.9906212458 | $102.58 |
| 07-09 12:14 | Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? | SELL | 0.12 | $5.00 |
| 06-08 18:38 | Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | BUY | 0.21 | $72.90 |
| 06-08 18:03 | Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | BUY | 0.2299999982 | $97.60 |
| 06-08 18:02 | Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | BUY | 0.2399999986 | $100.00 |
| 06-08 17:58 | Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | BUY | 0.25 | $103.91 |
| 06-01 01:02 | Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | SELL | 0.7406042138 | $42.53 |
| 05-08 21:52 | Will Nashville SC win the 2026 MLS Cup? | BUY | 0.0547006955 | $49.21 |
| 05-08 21:48 | Will Bruno Fernandes win the 2026 PFA Player of the Year? | BUY | 0.6759587304 | $70.00 |
| 03-11 23:22 | Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | BUY | 0.16 | $9.19 |
| 03-11 12:01 | Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31? | SELL | 0.002 | $0.04 |
| 03-08 04:09 | Will Racing Club de Lens win on 2026-03-08? | BUY | 0.7490056018 | $6.86 |
| 03-08 00:09 | Will CS Cristal win on 2026-03-07? | SELL | 0.995251435 | $176.86 |
| 03-07 20:43 | Will CS Cristal win on 2026-03-07? | BUY | 0.5799999979 | $83.07 |
| 03-07 20:43 | Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-03-07? | SELL | 0.999 | $83.07 |