0x355ffcD7018fa27a142569049d2f7Ea03A26651D-1771959805945
0x355ffcd7018fa27a142569049d2f7ea03a26651d
- Realised P&L
- $-374.72
- Volume
- $7.4k
- Markets traded
- 36
- Open portfolio
- $203.76
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-5.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded36
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration22.7% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample32 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Nashville SC win the 2026 MLS Cup? · Yes | 0.055 | 0.227 | $203.76 | +$154.56 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET · Down | 0.360 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
| Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? · Yes | 0.210 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$72.90 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET · Down | 0.600 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$100.00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET · Down | 0.270 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$70.66 |
| Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? · No | 0.240 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$301.51 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$73.79at 0.580Will CS Cristal win on 2026-03-07?
- +$62.10at 0.571Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET
- +$35.62at 0.584US strikes Iran by March 15, 2026?
- +$32.91at 0.160Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
- +$31.88at 0.682Will Bruno Fernandes win the 2026 PFA Player of the Year?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-12 20:35 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET | BUY | 0.2699999997 | $70.66 |
| 10-12 20:25 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET | BUY | 0.5999999988 | $100.00 |
| 10-12 20:17 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET | SELL | 0.92 | $166.15 |
| 10-12 20:16 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET | BUY | 0.5536879568 | $100.00 |
| 10-12 20:02 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET | BUY | 0.3599999971 | $5.00 |
| 10-12 20:02 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET | SELL | 0.58 | $113.72 |
| 10-12 20:01 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET | BUY | 0.5099999984 | $100.00 |
| 10-12 19:54 | Will Flamengo win the 2027 Copa Libertadores? | SELL | 0.24 | $117.39 |
| 10-12 19:53 | Will Flamengo win the 2027 Copa Libertadores? | BUY | 0.25 | $122.28 |
| 10-12 19:47 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET | BUY | 0.76 | $0.36 |
| 08-25 19:39 | Will Bruno Fernandes win the 2026 PFA Player of the Year? | SELL | 0.9906212458 | $102.58 |
| 07-09 12:14 | Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? | SELL | 0.12 | $5.00 |
| 06-08 18:38 | Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | BUY | 0.21 | $72.90 |
| 06-08 18:03 | Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | BUY | 0.2299999982 | $97.60 |
| 06-08 18:02 | Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | BUY | 0.2399999986 | $100.00 |