haraya
0x355f3b6a0e5b430a21b5067403c2f4507dbc0df8
- Realised P&L
- $-23.5k
- Volume
- $1.82M
- Markets traded
- 520
- Open portfolio
- $244.20
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded520
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration45.7% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)64.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration50.4% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$8.4kat 0.046Will another pairing advance to the Bolivian presidential runoff?
- +$4.7kat 0.641Will the Party for Freedom win the second most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
- +$2.3kat 0.769No one announced as next James Bond?
- +$2.2kat 0.892Will the next James Bond be British?
- +$1.2kat 0.006Will Robert Francis Prevost be the next pope?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-25 03:21 | China x Philippines military clash before 2027? | BUY | 0.68 | $102.00 |
| 08-25 03:20 | No one announced as next James Bond? | BUY | 0.216 | $172.80 |
| 08-25 03:13 | Will Reza Pahlavi be head of state in Iran end of 2026? | SELL | 0.967 | $18.18 |
| 08-25 03:13 | Will Eugen Tomac be the next Prime Minister of Romania? | SELL | 0.0160542764 | $15.17 |
| 08-25 03:13 | No one announced as next James Bond? | SELL | 0.215 | $4.19 |
| 08-25 03:13 | Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be an Independent or a Technocrat? | SELL | 0.51 | $33.15 |
| 08-25 03:13 | Will the US reopen its embassy in Iran in 2026? | SELL | 0.94 | $47.94 |
| 08-25 03:13 | Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be a member of PSD? | SELL | 0.716 | $49.40 |
| 08-25 03:13 | Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? | SELL | 0.2930162559 | $157.90 |
| 08-25 03:12 | Will Reza Pahlavi be head of state in Iran end of 2026? | SELL | 0.9697150044 | $437.54 |
| 06-23 19:52 | Will Trump praise Mark Rutte by June 30? | BUY | 0.8299999572 | $13.00 |
| 06-23 19:52 | Will Trump speak to Mark Rutte in June? | BUY | 0.99 | $290.00 |
| 06-23 19:28 | Will Trump attend 0 World Cup matches? | BUY | 0.9228686635 | $275.00 |
| 06-23 19:12 | Will Bad Bunny perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show? | BUY | 0.9454043007 | $300.00 |
| 06-23 19:10 | Will Shakira perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show? | BUY | 0.966 | $550.00 |