PolyBot

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Traders

ElonEdgeX

0x355eae802c8c8bdd08fabe48d65f19de955d6760

Realised P&L
$-115.55
Volume
$21.5k
Markets traded
714
Open portfolio
$5.80

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.5%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded714
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration16.4% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)36.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration16.8% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on September 23? · Yes0.2100.205$0.98$0.02
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 24°C on September 23? · Yes0.0800.070$0.88$0.13
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 25°C on September 23? · Yes0.1300.100$0.77$0.23
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 29°C on September 23? · Yes0.0400.030$0.75$0.25
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on September 23? · Yes0.0400.025$0.57$0.34
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C on September 23? · Yes0.0600.030$0.50$0.50
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 29°C on September 23? · Yes0.0500.025$0.50$0.50
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C on September 23? · Yes0.1500.065$0.43$0.57
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 23°C on September 23? · Yes0.0600.025$0.42$0.58
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 18°C on September 22? · Yes0.0900.001$0.01$1.00
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on September 22? · Yes0.1500.001$0.00$1.00
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 23°C on September 18? · Yes0.0520.000$0.00$0.95
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on September 17? · Yes0.0600.000$0.00$0.85
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 30°C on September 21? · Yes0.1000.000$0.00$1.00
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be 67°F or below on August 18? · Yes0.0400.000$0.00$0.33

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-22 19:46Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on September 23?BUY0.2099999895$1.00
09-22 18:52Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 25°C on September 23?BUY0.13$1.00
09-22 17:40Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 23°C on September 23?BUY0.06$1.00
09-22 16:57Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C on September 23?BUY0.06$1.00
09-22 16:19Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 24°C on September 23?BUY0.08$1.00
09-22 15:38Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on September 23?BUY0.04$0.70
09-22 15:38Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 29°C on September 23?BUY0.04$1.00
09-22 07:44Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 25°C on September 22?BUY0.06$1.00
09-22 05:35Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C on September 22?BUY0.12$1.00
09-22 05:26Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C on September 23?BUY0.15$1.00
09-22 04:50Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 36°C on September 22?BUY0.08$1.00
09-22 03:41Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 29°C on September 23?BUY0.05$1.00
09-21 16:07Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 23°C on September 22?BUY0.04$0.89
09-21 15:55Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on September 22?BUY0.15$1.00
09-21 15:34Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 29°C on September 22?BUY0.04$0.76