ElonEdgeX
0x355eae802c8c8bdd08fabe48d65f19de955d6760
- Realised P&L
- $-10.72
- Volume
- $5.4k
- Markets traded
- 159
- Open portfolio
- $10.58
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded159
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration31.1% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample21 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)95.2%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration14.1% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$28.41at 0.034Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 36°C on August 3?
- +$19.00at 0.050Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on August 4?
- +$12.60at 0.050Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 31°C on July 29?
- +$10.70at 0.090Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C on July 25?
- +$7.37at 0.913Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 25 to May 27, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-05 16:47 | Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 32°C on August 7? | BUY | 0.02 | $0.50 |
| 08-05 16:26 | Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 31°C on August 6? | BUY | 0.02 | $1.00 |
| 08-05 15:45 | Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on August 7? | BUY | 0.04 | $1.00 |
| 08-05 15:34 | Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 33°C on August 7? | BUY | 0.05 | $1.00 |
| 08-05 15:12 | Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 30°C on August 7? | BUY | 0.02 | $0.88 |
| 08-05 11:04 | Will the highest temperature in London be 25°C on August 6? | BUY | 0.04 | $1.00 |
| 08-04 19:11 | Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 68-69°F on August 5? | BUY | 0.05 | $0.40 |
| 08-04 17:28 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on August 5? | BUY | 0.07 | $0.88 |
| 08-04 16:34 | Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on August 5? | BUY | 0.08 | $0.40 |
| 08-04 16:34 | Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on August 6? | BUY | 0.03 | $0.75 |
| 08-04 16:24 | Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 35°C on August 6? | BUY | 0.08 | $0.40 |
| 08-04 14:42 | Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 30°C on August 6? | BUY | 0.04 | $1.00 |
| 08-04 14:42 | Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 29°C on August 6? | BUY | 0.02 | $1.00 |
| 08-04 11:54 | Will the highest temperature in London be 28°C on August 5? | BUY | 0.005 | $0.24 |
| 08-04 11:14 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 34°C on August 4? | BUY | 0.01 | $0.20 |