PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

Continue in Telegram — referral link

Traders

seoul

0x3559e089c3eb8aa1e3e9a0693de919eb485f4d76

Realised P&L
$-8.5k
Volume
$690.7k
Markets traded
48
Open portfolio
$19.36

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.2%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded48
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration62.8% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample10 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)30.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Ukraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.1500.025$19.36$99.15
Will Urawa Red Diamonds beat Inter Milan? · Yes0.1100.000$0.00$15.00
Israel x Iran ceasefire before July? · No0.0190.000$0.00$299.99
Another 7.0 or above earthquake by December 31? · Yes0.4500.000$0.00$450.00
Will Elon tweet 160–174 times June 13–20? · Yes0.0240.000$0.00$1.00
Will US or Israel strike Iran by February 15, 2026? · Yes0.2100.000$0.00$714.00
Will Praggnanandhaa R win the 2026 FIDE Candidates Tournament? · Yes0.1800.000$0.00$99.56
Will Turkiye win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.0080.000$0.00$240.00
Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.0110.000$0.00$494.98
Megaquake by June 30? · Yes0.3520.000$0.00$648.00
2025 June hottest on record? · Yes0.0160.000$0.00$3.00
Will US withdraw from NATO by April 30? · Yes0.0230.000$0.00$1.24
Ukraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by June 30, 2026? · Yes0.0930.000$0.00$807.04
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $92,000 on January 19? · No0.0640.000$0.00$83.70
Will Inter Milan vs. Urawa Red Diamonds end in a draw? · Yes0.1800.000$0.00$15.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-04 19:16Will Paraguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.002$100.00
06-23 15:17Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.016$382.98
06-23 15:14Will Austria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL0.002$60.00
06-23 15:14Will Senegal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL0.002$90.00
06-23 14:44Will Ecuador win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL0.001$50.00
06-05 04:55Will Uruguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.011$529.41
06-05 04:54Will Ecuador win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.009$450.00
05-30 14:16Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.012$420.00
05-30 14:15Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.011$495.00
05-30 14:08Will Turkiye win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.008$240.00
05-30 14:07Will Ivory Coast win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.003$90.00
05-30 14:07Will Senegal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.007$315.00
05-30 14:06Will Austria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.006$180.00
05-30 13:46Will Uzbekistan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.001$5.55
05-15 16:04Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?BUY0.513$5.13