PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x35595bd37e254B770ec773774E4f63f889685F0b-1782069443312

0x35595bd37e254b770ec773774e4f63f889685f0b

Realised P&L
$-831.94
Volume
$9.5k
Markets traded
44
Open portfolio
$406.32

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-8.8%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded44
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration34.1% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample16 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)87.5%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration40.8% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Javier Milei win the 2027 Argentina presidential election? · No0.4640.565$165.89+$29.73
Will Solana dip to $50 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.2510.069$137.31−$362.05
Will Solana dip to $60 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.0970.098$71.68+$0.27
Will Solana dip to $40 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.2770.047$31.45−$153.79
Will Austria win on 2026-06-27? · Yes0.2800.000$0.00−$287.00
Will Bitcoin reach $65,000 in July? · No0.1500.000$0.00−$16.00
Will Germany win on 2026-06-29? · Yes0.7400.000$0.00−$25.00
Will Ghana win on 2026-06-23? · Yes0.0700.000$0.00−$7.00
Will Mexico vs. Ecuador end in a draw? · Yes0.0800.000$0.00−$2.00
Will Haiti win on 2026-06-24? · Yes0.0500.000$0.00−$4.00
Will DR Congo win on 2026-06-23? · Yes0.1400.000$0.00−$4.00
Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-07-03? · Yes0.0480.000$0.00−$1.00
Will New Zealand win on 2026-06-21? · Yes0.1600.000$0.00−$33.00
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-03? · Yes0.6100.000$0.00−$6.00
Will United States win on 2026-06-25? · Yes0.5100.000$0.00−$305.80

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-26 10:55Will Solana dip to $60 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.0971319873$71.41
10-03 22:09Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.3879999955$29.82
09-26 02:52Will Javier Milei win the 2027 Argentina presidential election?BUY0.4499999978$71.56
09-18 02:43Will Javier Milei win the 2027 Argentina presidential election?BUY0.4799999976$64.60
09-11 03:46Will Solana dip to $50 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.1099999999$99.36
08-30 13:17Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in August?BUY0.4087115769$416.73
08-01 10:04Will Solana dip to $40 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.2768559192$185.24
08-01 10:02Will Solana dip to $50 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.368088699$400.00
07-24 02:30Will Bitcoin reach $67,500 in July?BUY0.5599999971$54.27
07-17 05:05Will Bitcoin reach $67,500 in July?BUY0.7099999961$30.64
07-17 05:05Will Bitcoin reach $65,000 in July?BUY0.3099999961$33.00
07-15 00:50Will Bitcoin reach $67,500 in July?BUY0.4499999981$46.43
07-15 00:45Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 in July?BUY0.7299999976$75.00
07-11 00:42Will Bitcoin reach $67,500 in July?BUY0.4899999994$54.20
07-11 00:41Will Bitcoin reach $65,000 in July?BUY0.149999993$16.00