giginat
0x355190fcc3f2504f6dded7635ac5766f77cdb02c
- Realised P&L
- $-63.58
- Volume
- $4.8k
- Markets traded
- 56
- Open portfolio
- $27.48
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded56
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration33.6% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample44 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)38.6%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration42.9% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$44.02at 0.062Will Apple be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?
- +$43.19at 0.028Will Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?
- +$9.77at 0.883Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET
- +$8.65at 0.437Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET
- +$5.03at 0.507Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-28 18:00 | Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.089999919 | $1.00 |
| 06-18 05:32 | Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.5T and $2.0T at market close on last trading day of IPO month? | BUY | 0.1399998824 | $1.00 |
| 06-18 05:32 | Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.0T and $1.5T at market close on last trading day of IPO month? | BUY | 0.0349999669 | $1.00 |
| 06-18 05:32 | Will SpaceX's market cap be less than $1.0T at market close on last trading day of IPO month? | BUY | 0.0109999892 | $1.00 |
| 06-18 05:31 | Will Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on June 30? | SELL | 0.244137931 | $3.33 |
| 05-31 14:33 | Will NVIDIA be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on June 30? | SELL | 0.024 | $3.34 |
| 05-31 14:33 | Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.28 | $8.44 |
| 05-27 07:45 | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET | BUY | 0.4899998285 | $1.00 |
| 05-26 20:56 | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET | BUY | 0.3099998295 | $1.00 |
| 05-26 20:51 | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET | BUY | 0.3799999012 | $1.00 |
| 05-26 20:50 | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET | SELL | 0.99 | $2.95 |
| 05-26 20:45 | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET | BUY | 0.6699999196 | $2.00 |
| 05-26 20:41 | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET | BUY | 0.2099998677 | $1.00 |
| 05-26 20:39 | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET | BUY | 0.1299998986 | $1.00 |
| 05-26 20:38 | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET | BUY | 0.4499997975 | $1.00 |