estoikoh
0x354e51c6d3881f2ed3e0ab7876a95d5124ccff28
- Realised P&L
- $-1.0k
- Volume
- $47.3k
- Markets traded
- 213
- Open portfolio
- $1.0k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded213
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration25.6% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)24.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration35.6% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$111.19at 0.750Will Bitcoin dip to $54,000 March 30-April 5?
- +$55.84at 0.620Backpack FDV above $500M one day after launch?
- +$39.00at 0.870Will Anthony Joshua win his boxing match against Jake Paul?
- +$27.55at 0.750Will Ethereum dip to $1,900 April 13-19?
- +$24.86at 0.834Will the Montreal Canadiens win the Eastern Conference?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-16 07:05 | Abstract FDV above $1B one day after launch? | BUY | 0.87 | $39.15 |
| 09-16 06:40 | Will AJ Dybantsa win the 2026-27 NBA Rookie of the Year? | SELL | 0.81 | $40.50 |
| 09-14 10:47 | Will AJ Dybantsa win the 2026-27 NBA Rookie of the Year? | BUY | 0.77 | $38.50 |
| 09-14 10:42 | Will DeepSeek IPO by June 30, 2027? | SELL | 0.51 | $15.30 |
| 09-14 10:40 | Will Fomo launch a token by December 31 2026? | SELL | 0.9 | $45.00 |
| 09-09 08:25 | Will DeepSeek IPO by June 30, 2027? | BUY | 0.44 | $13.20 |
| 09-09 06:37 | Will Lovable be acquired before 2027? | SELL | 0.88 | $88.88 |
| 09-09 05:35 | Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by September 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.84 | $22.68 |
| 09-09 05:24 | Jack Lowden announced as next James Bond? | BUY | 0.59928 | $59.93 |
| 09-07 10:21 | Will Fomo launch a token by December 31 2026? | BUY | 0.85 | $42.50 |
| 08-31 13:38 | StandX FDV above $400M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.77 | $67.76 |
| 08-31 13:25 | Will Hylo launch a token by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.83 | $4.15 |
| 08-31 13:21 | Abstract FDV above $800M one day after launch? | SELL | 0.86 | $86.00 |
| 08-31 13:17 | Will Viking Therapeutics be acquired before 2027? | SELL | 0.86 | $36.77 |
| 08-30 09:30 | Will Lovable be acquired before 2027? | BUY | 0.84 | $84.84 |