PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

Continue in Telegram — referral link

Traders

estoikoh

0x354e51c6d3881f2ed3e0ab7876a95d5124ccff28

Realised P&L
$-1.0k
Volume
$47.3k
Markets traded
213
Open portfolio
$1.0k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-2.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded213
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration25.6% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)24.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration35.6% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Trump be impeached before his term ends? · Yes0.5000.695$361.40+$101.40
Will Trump be impeached before his term ends? · No0.5000.305$158.60$101.40
Reya FDV above $200M one day after launch? · No0.8190.860$86.00+$4.05
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? · No0.5600.405$81.00$31.00
StandX FDV above $400M one day after launch? · No0.7700.755$66.44$1.32
Abstract FDV above $1B one day after launch? · No0.8700.865$38.92$0.22
Betmoar FDV above $20M one day after launch? · No0.2800.525$38.33+$17.89
MagicBlock FDV above $20M one day after launch? · No0.3400.685$33.56+$16.91
SlingshotDAO FDV above $100M one day after launch? · No0.7800.815$33.41+$1.44
Anduril Industries IPO before 2027? · No0.9200.965$29.51+$1.36
Yo FDV above $200M one day after launch? · No0.7200.760$16.95+$0.89
QFEX FDV above $50M one day after launch? · No0.5400.395$14.22$5.22
Will STRC hit $100 by December 31? · No0.6600.215$13.97$28.93
Will Lighter reach $6 before 2027? · No0.6500.270$9.18$12.92
Extended FDV above $500M one day after launch? · No0.8200.740$7.40$0.80

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-16 07:05Abstract FDV above $1B one day after launch?BUY0.87$39.15
09-16 06:40Will AJ Dybantsa win the 2026-27 NBA Rookie of the Year?SELL0.81$40.50
09-14 10:47Will AJ Dybantsa win the 2026-27 NBA Rookie of the Year?BUY0.77$38.50
09-14 10:42Will DeepSeek IPO by June 30, 2027?SELL0.51$15.30
09-14 10:40Will Fomo launch a token by December 31 2026?SELL0.9$45.00
09-09 08:25Will DeepSeek IPO by June 30, 2027?BUY0.44$13.20
09-09 06:37Will Lovable be acquired before 2027?SELL0.88$88.88
09-09 05:35Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by September 30, 2026?SELL0.84$22.68
09-09 05:24Jack Lowden announced as next James Bond?BUY0.59928$59.93
09-07 10:21Will Fomo launch a token by December 31 2026?BUY0.85$42.50
08-31 13:38StandX FDV above $400M one day after launch?BUY0.77$67.76
08-31 13:25Will Hylo launch a token by December 31, 2026?SELL0.83$4.15
08-31 13:21Abstract FDV above $800M one day after launch?SELL0.86$86.00
08-31 13:17Will Viking Therapeutics be acquired before 2027?SELL0.86$36.77
08-30 09:30Will Lovable be acquired before 2027?BUY0.84$84.84