PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

estoikoh

0x354e51c6d3881f2ed3e0ab7876a95d5124ccff28

Realised P&L
$-697.51
Volume
$43.0k
Markets traded
191
Open portfolio
$1.4k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.6%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded191
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration23.6% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)40.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration49.3% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · No0.5000.866$692.40+$292.40
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? · No0.5600.545$109.00$3.00
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.5000.135$107.60$292.40
Will Hylo launch a token by December 31, 2026? · No0.8600.860$86.00+$0.05
Reya FDV above $200M one day after launch? · No0.8200.845$84.50+$2.55
Abstract FDV above $800M one day after launch? · No0.8580.835$83.50$2.27
Will Hylo launch a token by September 30, 2026? · No0.8500.945$47.25+$4.75
Betmoar FDV above $20M one day after launch? · No0.2800.535$39.05+$18.61
Will STRC hit $100 by December 31? · No0.6600.595$38.67$4.22
MagicBlock FDV above $20M one day after launch? · No0.3400.590$28.91+$12.25
QFEX FDV above $50M one day after launch? · No0.5400.555$19.98+$0.54
Yo FDV above $200M one day after launch? · No0.7200.750$16.73+$0.67
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? · No0.2190.113$14.85$14.06
Will Hibachi launch a token by December 31, 2026? · No0.6500.800$11.19+$2.10
Extended FDV above $500M one day after launch? · No0.8200.775$7.75$0.45

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-02 09:07Abstract FDV above $800M one day after launch?BUY0.85771$85.77
08-02 08:35Will Hylo launch a token by December 31, 2026?BUY0.8595$85.95
08-02 08:12Will MGM Resorts be acquired before 2027?BUY0.53$0.46
08-02 07:462026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R HouseSELL0.87$261.00
07-25 16:25QFEX FDV above $50M one day after launch?BUY0.54$19.44
07-22 10:43Will LeBron James play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27?SELL0.735$44.47
07-22 10:37Will STRC hit $100 by December 31?BUY0.66$42.90
07-14 07:24Yo FDV above $200M one day after launch?BUY0.72$16.06
07-13 06:22APYX FDV above $50M one day after launch?BUY0.164$2.35
07-13 06:18Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?BUY0.219$28.91
07-13 06:13Puffpaw FDV above $50M one day after launch?SELL0.43$12.90
07-11 18:37Will LeBron James play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27?BUY0.499$30.19
07-10 07:34Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?SELL0.964$14.46
07-06 09:54Reya FDV above $200M one day after launch?BUY0.8195$81.95
07-05 08:45Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?BUY0.56$112.00