estoikoh
0x354e51c6d3881f2ed3e0ab7876a95d5124ccff28
- Realised P&L
- $-697.51
- Volume
- $43.0k
- Markets traded
- 191
- Open portfolio
- $1.4k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded191
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration23.6% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)40.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration49.3% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$55.84at 0.620Backpack FDV above $500M one day after launch?
- +$39.00at 0.870Will Anthony Joshua win his boxing match against Jake Paul?
- +$25.50at 0.830Will the Montreal Canadiens win the Eastern Conference?
- +$20.41at 0.870Will Arsenal FC win on 2025-12-13?
- +$20.00at 0.800Will Athletic Club win on 2025-12-10?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-02 09:07 | Abstract FDV above $800M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.85771 | $85.77 |
| 08-02 08:35 | Will Hylo launch a token by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.8595 | $85.95 |
| 08-02 08:12 | Will MGM Resorts be acquired before 2027? | BUY | 0.53 | $0.46 |
| 08-02 07:46 | 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House | SELL | 0.87 | $261.00 |
| 07-25 16:25 | QFEX FDV above $50M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.54 | $19.44 |
| 07-22 10:43 | Will LeBron James play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27? | SELL | 0.735 | $44.47 |
| 07-22 10:37 | Will STRC hit $100 by December 31? | BUY | 0.66 | $42.90 |
| 07-14 07:24 | Yo FDV above $200M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.72 | $16.06 |
| 07-13 06:22 | APYX FDV above $50M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.164 | $2.35 |
| 07-13 06:18 | Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | BUY | 0.219 | $28.91 |
| 07-13 06:13 | Puffpaw FDV above $50M one day after launch? | SELL | 0.43 | $12.90 |
| 07-11 18:37 | Will LeBron James play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27? | BUY | 0.499 | $30.19 |
| 07-10 07:34 | Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | SELL | 0.964 | $14.46 |
| 07-06 09:54 | Reya FDV above $200M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.8195 | $81.95 |
| 07-05 08:45 | Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? | BUY | 0.56 | $112.00 |