PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x354dA79e1cFe5999a96970EBe17d6C1c5aE904df-1768421508553

0x354da79e1cfe5999a96970ebe17d6c1c5ae904df

Realised P&L
$-195.29
Volume
$3.3k
Markets traded
36
Open portfolio
$21.66

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-6.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded36
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration35.0% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample25 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)52.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration54.6% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 64-65°F on October 18? · Yes0.1900.225$11.82+$1.82
Israel Election: Which Bloc Wins More Seats? · Bibi0.6100.600$9.84−$0.16
Israel closes its airspace by June 15? · Yes0.2200.000$0.00−$5.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 7, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET · Down0.2170.000$0.00−$10.67
Will Israel strike 3 countries in April 2026? · Yes0.4500.000$0.00−$5.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 7, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET · Up0.0430.000$0.00−$1.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 18, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET · Down0.7680.000$0.00−$45.13
Solana Up or Down - January 17, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET · Up0.8620.000$0.00−$160.64
UFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card) · Khamzat Chimaev0.8200.000$0.00−$10.00
Will the US strike Iran next? · Yes0.2400.000$0.00−$10.00
Will Israel take military action in Gaza on April 6, 2026? · No0.4000.000$0.00−$3.04
Spurs vs. Knicks · Knicks0.5500.000$0.00−$10.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-18 07:30Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 64-65°F on October 18?BUY0.1902786631$10.00
10-18 06:54Israel Election: Which Bloc Wins More Seats?BUY0.609999986$10.00
06-08 12:05Israel closes its airspace by June 15?BUY0.2199999727$5.00
06-08 10:49Israel closes its airspace by June 15?SELL0.2837795973$12.82
06-08 10:48Spurs vs. KnicksBUY0.5499999807$10.00
06-08 10:38Israel closes its airspace by June 15?BUY0.3319447934$15.00
06-07 19:54Israel closes its airspace by June 15?BUY0.32$12.80
06-07 19:52Israel closes its airspace by June 15?BUY0.3238468961$10.00
05-03 05:45UFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card)BUY0.8199999902$10.00
04-29 09:23US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?SELL0.56$10.08
04-23 07:01US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?BUY0.43$7.74
04-07 13:01Will Israel take military action in Gaza on April 6, 2026?BUY0.4$3.04
04-07 11:06Bitcoin Up or Down - April 7, 7:05AM-7:10AM ETBUY0.29999997$4.50
04-07 11:04Bitcoin Up or Down - April 7, 7:00AM-7:05AM ETSELL0.1$2.33
04-07 11:03Bitcoin Up or Down - April 7, 7:00AM-7:05AM ETBUY0.08$1.74