PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

ejm

0x3548ee778e7c74004867ae69f75e9eeef53d05eb

Realised P&L
$420.85
Volume
$27.2k
Markets traded
218
Open portfolio
$475.30

Can you copy this trader?

plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar1.5%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded218
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration10.1% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)72.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration12.5% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
OpenAI IPO before 2027? · No0.5720.975$59.64+$24.64
Databricks IPO before 2027? · No0.3500.974$55.66+$35.66
Will OpenAI announce earbuds or headphones in 2026? · No0.6430.865$53.81+$13.81
Will OpenSea launch a token by December 31, 2026? · No0.2040.851$41.67+$31.67
Will MetaMask launch a token by September 30, 2026? · No0.2701.000$37.04+$27.04
Kraken IPO by December 31, 2026? · No0.2940.951$32.36+$22.36
Will Consensys IPO by December 31 2026? · No0.3270.962$29.37+$19.37
Anthropic IPO before 2027? · No0.3390.260$26.83−$8.17
Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026? · No0.4710.958$20.32+$10.32
Will the S&P 500 have the best performance in 2026? · Yes0.1700.685$20.15+$15.15
Will MetaMask launch a token by December 31, 2026? · No0.4610.925$20.07+$10.07
Will OpenSea launch a token by September 30, 2026? · No0.5301.000$18.87+$8.87
Will Consensys IPO by September 30 2026? · No0.5661.000$17.66+$7.66
Canada's population Up or Down this year? · Up0.5500.465$12.68−$2.32
Will Pump.fun perform an airdrop by December 31, 2026 · No0.7000.830$11.86+$1.86

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
05-13 04:06Gemini 3.5 released by July 31?BUY0.7299999679$5.00
05-13 04:05OpenAI IPO before 2027?BUY0.7099999815$10.00
05-13 04:05Anthropic IPO before 2027?BUY0.3558015259$10.00
05-13 04:04Will OpenAI announce earbuds or headphones in 2026?BUY0.6299999483$10.00
05-13 04:04Will the Minnesota Wild win the Western Conference?SELL0.022$1.02
05-13 04:03Will the Minnesota Wild win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?SELL0.0145591937$3.48
05-13 04:03Will the Buffalo Sabres win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?SELL0.061$14.51
05-13 04:03Will the Colorado Avalanche win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?SELL0.6$23.56
04-23 01:50Will the Philadelphia Flyers win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?BUY0.0439999899$4.00
04-23 01:50Will the Edmonton Oilers win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?BUY0.1082676977$5.00
04-20 03:46Will the Philadelphia Flyers win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?BUY0.0261760477$5.00
04-20 03:45Will Claude 5 be released by June 30, 2026?BUY0.676470575$15.00
04-13 02:46Canucks vs. DucksBUY0.4199999272$3.00
04-12 04:52Canucks vs. SharksBUY0.5499999587$4.00
04-12 04:47Canucks vs. SharksSELL0.33$3.75