pebbc
0x35413dd238ba2a899c9caf70fb2965994ef7b4b1
- Realised P&L
- $-109.83
- Volume
- $227.0k
- Markets traded
- 869
- Open portfolio
- $20.01
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded869
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration65.3% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)74.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration99.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Ethereum reach $10,000 by December 31, 2026? · No | 0.988 | 0.991 | $19.81 | +$0.05 |
| Will Opendoor Technologies Inc. (OPEN) hit (LOW) $1.00 Week of October 12 2026? · Yes | 0.020 | 0.010 | $0.20 | −$0.20 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$26.04at 0.790Bitcoin above $84,000 on April 11?
- +$19.20at 0.840Ethereum above $3,500 on December 6?
- +$9.54at 0.539Ethereum above $2,700 on February 14?
- +$6.37at 0.999Bitcoin above $82,000 on April 18?
- +$6.17at 0.630Ethereum above $3,900 on December 20?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-12 01:20 | Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $800 Week of October 12 2026? | SELL | 0.04 | $0.40 |
| 10-12 01:13 | Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (HIGH) $585 Week of October 12 2026? | SELL | 0.01 | $0.20 |
| 10-12 01:02 | Will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (LOW) $236 Week of October 12 2026? | SELL | 0.02 | $0.40 |
| 09-27 13:03 | Will Ethereum reach $10,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.988 | $19.75 |
| 09-01 14:30 | Will Ethereum dip to $2,400 in September? | BUY | 0.89 | $8.90 |
| 09-01 14:30 | Will Ethereum reach $4,000 in September? | BUY | 0.994 | $4.97 |
| 09-01 14:29 | Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 in September? | BUY | 0.996 | $4.98 |
| 09-01 14:29 | Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in September? | BUY | 0.97 | $4.85 |
| 08-19 11:35 | Will Solana reach $160 in August? | BUY | 0.999 | $11.99 |
| 08-19 11:35 | Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in August? | BUY | 0.999 | $11.99 |
| 08-19 11:34 | Will Ethereum reach $3,000 in August? | BUY | 0.999 | $11.99 |
| 07-31 16:23 | Will Ethereum reach $2,200 in July? | BUY | 0.999 | $13.99 |
| 07-31 16:22 | Will Ethereum reach $2,500 July 27-August 2? | BUY | 0.999 | $9.99 |
| 07-31 16:22 | Will Bitcoin reach $74,000 July 27-August 2? | BUY | 0.999 | $9.99 |
| 07-31 16:21 | Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (LOW) $270 in July? | BUY | 0.999 | $5.00 |