PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x353f74Df60a4b67f821848efc1861346c78A1623-1779233291316

0x353f74df60a4b67f821848efc1861346c78a1623

Realised P&L
$-545.52
Volume
$19.7k
Markets traded
120
Open portfolio
$14.43

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-2.8%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded120
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration25.4% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)46.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration71.5% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the highest temperature in London be 18°C on October 12? · Yes0.5230.540$10.31+$0.31
Will the highest temperature in London be 15°C on October 11? · Yes0.3400.280$4.12−$0.88
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 5, 10PM ET · Up0.0130.000$0.00−$6.33
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET · Up0.1200.000$0.00−$5.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 30, 2PM ET · Down0.4400.000$0.00−$5.00
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 33°C on July 15? · Yes0.3400.000$0.00−$2.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 9, 9AM ET · Down0.2660.000$0.00−$5.53
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 31°C on July 16? · Yes0.1300.000$0.00−$2.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 9, 10AM ET · Up0.2400.000$0.00−$5.71
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 29°C on July 24? · Yes0.1100.000$0.00−$5.00
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026? · Yes0.1500.000$0.00−$10.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 6, 10AM ET · Down0.2050.000$0.00−$8.55
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 4PM ET · Up0.5200.000$0.00−$5.00
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 32°C on July 25? · Yes0.0440.000$0.00−$2.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 8, 3AM ET · Down0.1700.000$0.00−$6.07

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-10 21:22Will the highest temperature in London be 15°C on October 11?BUY0.339999985$5.00
10-10 21:20Will the highest temperature in London be 18°C on October 12?BUY0.5235395145$10.00
10-10 11:34Will the highest temperature in London be 15°C on October 10?SELL0.31$1.55
10-10 00:11Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C on October 10?BUY0.56$2.80
10-10 00:11Will the highest temperature in London be 15°C on October 10?BUY0.4$2.00
10-08 16:53Will the highest temperature in London be 18°C on October 9?BUY0.16$10.00
10-08 16:52Will the highest temperature in London be 19°C on October 9?BUY0.3899999945$10.00
08-21 16:12Will the highest temperature in Paris be 23°C on August 22?BUY0.5299999714$2.97
08-09 22:12Will the highest temperature in Paris be 33°C on August 10?BUY0.1182289107$5.00
07-23 23:33Will the highest temperature in Paris be 32°C on July 25?BUY0.0437956001$2.00
07-23 23:33Will the highest temperature in Paris be 31°C on July 25?BUY0.2673267036$5.00
07-23 23:31Will the highest temperature in Paris be 29°C on July 24?BUY0.1099999815$5.00
07-23 20:21Will the highest temperature in Paris be 25°C on July 23?SELL0.999$16.10
07-23 20:21Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 13°C on July 23?SELL0.001$0.02
07-22 16:28Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 13°C on July 23?BUY0.2549019308$5.00