PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

Continue in Telegram — referral link

Traders

0x353d91eab8397895ce847edd4b180c2cf94de4b2

0x353d91eab8397895ce847edd4b180c2cf94de4b2

Realised P&L
$4.26
Volume
$64.36
Markets traded
10
Open portfolio
$7.47

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

ClearEdge per dollar6.6%
Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
BlockerMarkets traded10
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
BlockerProfit concentration54.3% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample9 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)44.4%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration32.9% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will OpenAI rename itself to OpenSI? · No0.9610.943$2.45−$0.05
Allstate (ALL) Q3 property-liability combined ratio 86% to 88%? · Yes0.2800.510$1.82+$0.82
Allstate (ALL) Q3 property-liability combined ratio 88% to 90%? · Yes0.2700.203$1.79−$0.59
Will OpenAI rename itself to OpenSI? · Yes0.0970.057$1.40−$0.98

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-17 03:31Allstate (ALL) Q3 property-liability combined ratio 86% to 88%?BUY0.2799999664$1.00
10-16 03:31Allstate (ALL) Q3 property-liability combined ratio 88% to 90%?BUY0.2699999943$2.38
10-16 03:31Will OpenAI rename itself to OpenSI?BUY0.0969999979$2.38
10-13 03:30Will AI.gov be renamed to SI.gov by October 15?BUY0.9$1.00
10-13 03:30Will AI.gov be renamed to SI.gov by October 31?BUY0.25$1.00
10-12 03:31Will AI.gov be renamed to SI.gov by October 31?BUY0.8499997025$1.00
10-12 03:31Will AI.gov be renamed to SI.gov by October 15?BUY0.469999906$1.00
10-06 03:31Will SpaceXAI officially rename itself to SpaceXSI by October 31?BUY0.3699999593$1.00
10-06 03:31Will SpaceXAI officially rename itself to SpaceXSI by October 15?BUY0.219999978$1.00
10-02 03:31Will OpenAI rename itself to OpenSI?BUY0.94999962$1.50
10-01 03:31Will OpenAI rename itself to OpenSI?BUY0.9779999883$1.00
06-26 03:31Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI?BUY0.5049997551$1.00
06-26 03:31Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?BUY0.5099998317$1.00
06-24 03:32Will China invades Taiwan before GTA VI?BUY0.5$1.00
06-21 03:30Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?BUY0.5099998671$1.65