0x35378d738d86dac9e2f99e2f0ed28192946bcf88
- Realised P&L
- not known
- Volume
- not known
- Markets traded
- 7
- Open portfolio
- $1.6k
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- Not knownEdge per dollar—
- No leaderboard entry for this wallet in the requested window.
- BlockerMarkets traded7
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample3 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)33.3%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration89.4% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes | 0.048 | 0.038 | $1.4k | −$351.13 |
| Will XRP reach $2.00 in November? · Yes | 0.060 | 0.026 | $165.89 | −$213.24 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $77,500 in August? · No | 0.650 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $77,500 in September? · Yes | 0.520 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$3.63 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$0.37at 0.830Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 in September?
- +$-0.49at 0.242Will XRP reach $1.60 in September?
- +$-25.15at 0.802Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in September?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-01 19:58 | Will XRP reach $2.00 in November? | BUY | 0.0535641732 | $29.14 |
| 11-01 19:57 | Will XRP reach $2.00 in November? | BUY | 0.0612319207 | $350.00 |
| 09-20 04:24 | Will Bitcoin dip to $77,500 in September? | BUY | 0.5199999427 | $3.63 |
| 09-20 04:22 | Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 in September? | SELL | 0.93 | $3.64 |
| 09-19 01:37 | Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 in September? | BUY | 0.8199999847 | $3.21 |
| 09-18 15:33 | Will XRP reach $1.60 in September? | SELL | 0.2091659028 | $2.28 |
| 09-11 22:56 | Will XRP reach $1.60 in September? | BUY | 0.229999989 | $2.51 |
| 09-11 05:04 | Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.0373275218 | $275.41 |
| 09-11 04:57 | Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in September? | SELL | 0.73 | $293.66 |
| 09-10 23:12 | Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in September? | BUY | 0.7899999981 | $317.80 |
| 09-10 23:11 | Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in September? | SELL | 0.78 | $327.44 |
| 09-10 19:45 | Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in September? | BUY | 0.73 | $215.80 |
| 09-10 19:44 | Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | SELL | 0.036 | $228.95 |
| 09-10 19:40 | Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in September? | BUY | 0.7399999987 | $90.12 |
| 09-10 19:40 | Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | SELL | 0.036 | $95.74 |