bgrt4rfdfg
0x3533d3be45e19d8f3e66364471926c3002bc6701
- Realised P&L
- $1.2k
- Volume
- $43.1k
- Markets traded
- 301
- Open portfolio
- $22.21
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar2.9%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded301
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration30.1% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)92.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration56.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet before 2027? · Yes | 0.772 | 0.960 | $12.44 | +$2.44 |
| Texans vs. Jaguars · Texans | 0.430 | 0.425 | $9.78 | −$0.11 |
| Celtics vs. Heat · Heat | 0.450 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$85.00 |
| Milwaukee Brewers vs. Pittsburgh Pirates · Milwaukee Brewers | 0.460 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$15.18 |
| Tampa Bay Rays vs. New York Yankees · Tampa Bay Rays | 0.430 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$9.46 |
| Tampa Bay Rays vs. Boston Red Sox · Tampa Bay Rays | 0.470 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$13.16 |
| Suns vs. Knicks · Knicks | 0.600 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$126.37 |
| Heat vs. Trail Blazers · Heat | 0.490 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$90.00 |
| Baltimore Orioles vs. Tampa Bay Rays · Tampa Bay Rays | 0.580 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$16.24 |
| UFC 329: Cory Sandhagen vs. Mario Bautista (Bantamweight, Main Card) · Cory Sandhagen | 0.590 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$14.16 |
| Kansas City Royals vs. Detroit Tigers · Detroit Tigers | 0.620 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$20.46 |
| Cincinnati Reds vs. St. Louis Cardinals · Cincinnati Reds | 0.470 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$14.10 |
| Canadiens vs. Capitals · Canadiens | 0.430 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$70.00 |
| Nuggets vs. Spurs · Spurs | 0.710 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$210.64 |
| Jazz vs. Pacers · Pacers | 0.590 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$81.48 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$356.51at 0.560Wild vs. Utah
- +$291.21at 0.560Grizzlies vs. Pelicans
- +$282.83at 0.420Pacers vs. Wizards
- +$269.80at 0.360Bulls vs. Heat
- +$259.64at 0.390Bulls vs. Nets
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-12 07:23 | Texans vs. Jaguars | BUY | 0.43 | $9.89 |
| 10-11 06:31 | Browns vs. Jets | BUY | 0.44 | $6.60 |
| 10-10 07:57 | Raiders vs. Patriots | BUY | 0.37 | $7.40 |
| 10-09 10:32 | Giants vs. Commanders | BUY | 0.3699999935 | $4.00 |
| 10-08 08:41 | 49ers vs. Seahawks | BUY | 0.62 | $11.78 |
| 10-07 06:48 | Tampa Bay Rays vs. New York Yankees | BUY | 0.4 | $9.20 |
| 10-06 09:22 | Cleveland Guardians vs. Chicago White Sox | BUY | 0.48 | $7.68 |
| 10-05 06:36 | Falcons vs. Saints | BUY | 0.53 | $8.48 |
| 10-03 09:05 | San Diego Padres vs. Milwaukee Brewers | BUY | 0.44 | $7.04 |
| 10-02 07:24 | New York Yankees vs. Tampa Bay Rays | BUY | 0.55 | $8.80 |
| 10-01 08:53 | Packers vs. Buccaneers | BUY | 0.63 | $10.08 |
| 09-30 06:46 | Patriots vs. Bills | BUY | 0.7299999791 | $7.00 |
| 09-29 06:21 | Jaguars vs. Bengals | BUY | 0.44 | $11.00 |
| 09-28 11:11 | Boston Red Sox vs. New York Yankees | BUY | 0.6 | $15.60 |
| 09-27 05:46 | Cardinals vs. 49ers | BUY | 0.7699999877 | $5.00 |