stjrjfdg
0x3531e205f1256794f1d883ceae150e3a5608efad
- Realised P&L
- $-117.05
- Volume
- $20.8k
- Markets traded
- 41
- Open portfolio
- $9.47
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded41
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration41.4% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample40 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)25.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Bitcoin dip to $64,000 September 14-20? · No | 0.993 | 0.996 | $9.47 | +$0.02 |
| Rams vs. Seahawks · Rams | 0.500 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$50.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$5.07at 0.580Raptors vs. Pacers
- +$3.66at 0.749Will Ethereum dip to $1,700 April 13-19?
- +$2.90at 0.749Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 March 30-April 5?
- +$0.52at 0.530Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 19?
- +$0.03at 0.997Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from July 10 to July 17, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-15 07:30 | Will Bitcoin dip to $64,000 September 14-20? | BUY | 0.9929999997 | $9.45 |
| 08-05 02:21 | Will Bitcoin reach $74,000 August 3-9? | BUY | 0.9969999999 | $8.16 |
| 07-23 03:00 | Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from July 21 to July 28, 2026? | BUY | 0.999 | $7.38 |
| 07-15 09:28 | Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from July 10 to July 17, 2026? | BUY | 0.997 | $9.31 |
| 06-13 08:46 | Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026? | BUY | 0.999 | $8.45 |
| 05-29 07:19 | Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026? | BUY | 0.9969999996 | $5.55 |
| 04-15 06:12 | Will Ethereum dip to $1,700 April 13-19? | BUY | 0.998 | $7.29 |
| 04-02 02:31 | Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 March 30-April 5? | BUY | 0.998 | $5.76 |
| 04-02 02:22 | Will Anthony Edwards win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP? | SELL | 0.999 | $9.06 |
| 03-02 08:50 | Will Anthony Edwards win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP? | BUY | 0.998 | $9.06 |
| 01-14 09:28 | Raptors vs. Pacers | BUY | 0.5799999901 | $7.00 |
| 12-30 12:21 | Will the Buffalo Bills win Super Bowl 2026? | SELL | 0.08 | $4.00 |
| 12-29 08:03 | Will Andrew Yang win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | SELL | 0.994 | $353.64 |
| 12-29 05:48 | Will Andrew Yang win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.995 | $354.00 |
| 12-29 05:33 | Will Tulsi Gabbard win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | SELL | 0.99 | $309.38 |