0x3524a327923c0a9de51d5a29a91c09ae7cb695ab
0x3524a327923c0a9de51d5a29a91c09ae7cb695ab
- Realised P&L
- $-20.92
- Volume
- $272.93
- Markets traded
- 21
- Open portfolio
- $9.44
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-7.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded21
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration27.3% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample10 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)90.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Buenos Aires 2: Joaquin Aguilar vs Juan Pablo Varillas · Joaquin Aguilar | 0.600 | 0.595 | $9.44 | −$0.08 |
| Seattle Mariners vs. Athletics: O/U 10.5 · Under | 0.540 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
| Philadelphia Phillies vs. Atlanta Braves: O/U 6.5 · Under | 0.450 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
| Brentford FC vs. Chelsea FC: O/U 3.5 · Over | 0.420 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$4.76 |
| Spread: Chiefs (-2.5) · Broncos | 0.510 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
| Toronto Blue Jays vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 7.5 · Over | 0.490 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$4.76 |
| Tampa Bay Rays vs. New York Yankees: O/U 6.5 · Over | 0.550 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$9.69 |
| Milwaukee Brewers vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 7.5 · Over | 0.500 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$4.76 |
| Will FC Midtjylland win on 2026-09-14? · No | 0.460 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
| Tolentino: Samira De Stefano vs Oksana Selekhmeteva · Samira De Stefano | 0.560 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$9.52 |
| Minnesota Twins vs. San Francisco Giants: O/U 8.5 · Over | 0.470 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$4.76 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$13.42at 0.422San Diego 2: Ozan Baris vs Igor Ribeiro Marcondes
- +$8.91at 0.522St. Tropez: Billy Harris vs Murphy Cassone
- +$6.44at 0.432Eintracht Frankfurt vs. SC Freiburg: O/U 3.5
- +$5.69at 0.462SV Werder Bremen vs. FC Augsburg: O/U 3.5
- +$3.23at 0.612Noche UFC: Rafa Garcia vs. Rongzhu (Lightweight, Prelims)
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-25 06:30 | Buenos Aires 2: Joaquin Aguilar vs Juan Pablo Varillas | BUY | 0.5999999874 | $9.52 |
| 09-24 06:49 | Tolentino: Samira De Stefano vs Oksana Selekhmeteva | BUY | 0.56 | $9.52 |
| 09-24 06:39 | St. Tropez: Billy Harris vs Murphy Cassone | BUY | 0.5099999909 | $9.52 |
| 09-22 15:46 | Tampa Bay Rays vs. New York Yankees: O/U 6.5 | BUY | 0.5499999943 | $9.69 |
| 09-22 09:39 | San Diego 2: Ozan Baris vs Igor Ribeiro Marcondes | BUY | 0.4099999858 | $9.52 |
| 09-22 00:37 | Minnesota Twins vs. San Francisco Giants: O/U 8.5 | BUY | 0.4699999803 | $4.76 |
| 09-21 20:38 | Toronto Blue Jays vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 7.5 | BUY | 0.4899999856 | $4.76 |
| 09-21 16:05 | Plovdiv 4: Pavel Lagutin vs Svyatoslav Gulin | SELL | 0.999 | $7.42 |
| 09-21 05:45 | Plovdiv 4: Pavel Lagutin vs Svyatoslav Gulin | BUY | 0.64 | $4.76 |
| 09-21 04:05 | Genoa 2 (Doubles): Kalender/Serdarusic vs Broska/Oradini | BUY | 0.5099999636 | $4.76 |
| 09-20 22:09 | Milwaukee Brewers vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 7.5 | BUY | 0.5 | $4.76 |
| 09-20 15:26 | AC Milan vs. US Lecce: O/U 2.5 | BUY | 0.6099999757 | $4.76 |
| 09-20 09:32 | Will the next Claude Opus model be released on September 21, 2026? | BUY | 0.6129999669 | $4.80 |
| 09-19 12:44 | SV Werder Bremen vs. FC Augsburg: O/U 3.5 | BUY | 0.4499999905 | $4.76 |
| 09-19 12:30 | Eintracht Frankfurt vs. SC Freiburg: O/U 3.5 | BUY | 0.4199999753 | $4.76 |