poldolski
0x352237271f8d78094e4fa8cf9377d31b315c31a8
- Realised P&L
- $246.76
- Volume
- $39.3k
- Markets traded
- 547
- Open portfolio
- $121.78
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded547
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration4.5% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)86.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration96.6% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Palermo FC win on 2026-11-01? · Yes | 0.850 | 1.000 | $117.59 | +$17.59 |
| Will Athletic Club vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol end in a draw? · Yes | 0.270 | 0.090 | $4.00 | −$8.00 |
| Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol win on 2026-11-01? · Yes | 0.250 | 0.004 | $0.19 | −$11.81 |
| Minnesota Twins vs. Houston Astros · Minnesota Twins | 0.520 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$20.00 |
| Baltimore Orioles vs. St. Louis Cardinals · St. Louis Cardinals | 0.500 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$26.00 |
| Will SV Werder Bremen vs. FC Augsburg end in a draw? · Yes | 0.260 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
| New York Yankees vs. Boston Red Sox · New York Yankees | 0.560 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$50.00 |
| Boston Red Sox vs. Texas Rangers · Boston Red Sox | 0.500 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$40.00 |
| Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Milwaukee Brewers · Los Angeles Dodgers | 0.500 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
| Will Norway win on 2026-07-11? · Yes | 0.230 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
| Boston Red Sox vs. Toronto Blue Jays · Boston Red Sox | 0.593 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$45.00 |
| Will SV 07 Elversberg win on 2026-05-10? · Yes | 0.470 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
| Philadelphia Phillies vs. Washington Nationals · Philadelphia Phillies | 0.647 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$100.00 |
| Madrid Open: Alexander Blockx vs Alexander Zverev · Alexander Blockx | 0.230 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
| Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Colorado Rockies · Arizona Diamondbacks | 0.570 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$4.90 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$87.35at 0.698San Diego Padres vs. Los Angeles Dodgers
- +$86.34at 0.621Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Minnesota Twins
- +$73.29at 0.582St. Louis Cardinals vs. Cincinnati Reds
- +$60.69at 0.647Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Arizona Diamondbacks
- +$57.62at 0.637Milwaukee Brewers vs. St. Louis Cardinals
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-01 20:10 | Will Palermo FC win on 2026-11-01? | BUY | 0.8499999987 | $100.00 |
| 11-01 11:22 | Will Athletic Club vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol end in a draw? | BUY | 0.2699999966 | $12.00 |
| 11-01 11:22 | Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol win on 2026-11-01? | BUY | 0.25 | $12.00 |
| 11-01 11:20 | Will Frosinone Calcio vs. Torino FC end in a draw? | BUY | 0.25 | $15.00 |
| 11-01 11:20 | Will Frosinone Calcio win on 2026-11-01? | BUY | 0.4899999984 | $30.00 |
| 10-31 21:37 | Will Aston Villa FC vs. Fulham FC end in a draw? | BUY | 0.5599999966 | $60.00 |
| 10-31 21:08 | Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-10-31? | BUY | 0.709999998 | $50.00 |
| 10-31 20:46 | Will AC Milan win on 2026-10-31? | BUY | 0.7599999985 | $100.00 |
| 10-31 18:30 | Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-10-31? | BUY | 0.92 | $220.00 |
| 10-31 17:53 | Will FC Bayern München vs. BV Borussia 09 Dortmund end in a draw? | BUY | 0.1899999962 | $7.00 |
| 10-31 17:52 | Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-10-31? | BUY | 0.1199999994 | $8.00 |
| 10-31 15:52 | Will Coventry City FC win on 2026-10-31? | BUY | 0.85 | $70.00 |
| 10-31 15:26 | Will VfB Stuttgart win on 2026-10-31? | BUY | 0.4599999951 | $15.00 |
| 10-31 15:15 | Will FC Augsburg win on 2026-10-31? | BUY | 0.589999991 | $25.00 |
| 10-31 12:32 | Will VfL Wolfsburg win on 2026-10-31? | BUY | 0.7699999992 | $100.00 |