0x351ed04046145c2b3aad5a877fa6d0f11e752da0
0x351ed04046145c2b3aad5a877fa6d0f11e752da0
- Realised P&L
- $38.71
- Volume
- $281.00
- Markets traded
- 2
- Open portfolio
- $57.32
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar13.8%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- BlockerMarkets traded2
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample1 position
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Ukraine win on 2026-09-28? · Yes | 0.360 | 0.355 | $57.32 | −$0.81 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$38.71at 0.351Will Portugal win on 2026-09-27?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-27 20:46 | Will Ukraine win on 2026-09-28? | BUY | 0.3599999983 | $58.13 |
| 09-27 20:44 | Will Portugal win on 2026-09-27? | SELL | 0.999 | $59.70 |
| 09-27 14:50 | Will Portugal win on 2026-09-27? | BUY | 0.3399999993 | $20.32 |