RikuKobayash
0x351a44309da8a2cfc5bc3122f447ea5d88bdf4bb
- Realised P&L
- $-12.28
- Volume
- $65.04
- Markets traded
- 7
- Open portfolio
- $2.32
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-18.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded7
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration85.7% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample2 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Ethereum dip to $2,300 October 19-25? · Yes | 0.430 | 0.475 | $2.32 | +$0.22 |
| Kansas City Royals vs. Minnesota Twins · Kansas City Royals | 0.440 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$4.00 |
| Chicago Cubs vs. Atlanta Braves: O/U 7.5 · Over | 0.490 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$6.00 |
| Seattle Mariners vs. Athletics · Athletics | 0.490 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
| Spread: Baltimore Orioles (-2.5) · Baltimore Orioles | 0.280 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$3.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$5.20at 0.480Rockets vs. Timberwolves
- +$0.87at 0.405US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-20 04:27 | Will Ethereum dip to $2,300 October 19-25? | BUY | 0.4299999939 | $2.10 |
| 10-19 02:10 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.625 | $2.47 |
| 09-21 05:26 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.4049999266 | $1.60 |
| 07-30 10:50 | Kansas City Royals vs. Minnesota Twins | BUY | 0.4399999428 | $4.00 |
| 06-06 16:07 | Spread: Baltimore Orioles (-2.5) | BUY | 0.2799999515 | $3.00 |
| 05-25 20:49 | Seattle Mariners vs. Athletics | BUY | 0.4899999804 | $5.00 |
| 05-14 23:14 | Chicago Cubs vs. Atlanta Braves: O/U 7.5 | BUY | 0.4899999967 | $6.00 |
| 03-25 11:53 | Rockets vs. Timberwolves | BUY | 0.48 | $4.80 |