5688c
0x35137bf03a4f0f79d60b472a619cb09610b41840
- Realised P&L
- $3.57
- Volume
- $11.0k
- Markets traded
- 8
- Open portfolio
- $122.02
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded8
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- CautionProfit concentration30.8% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample7 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will XRP reach $8.00 by December 31, 2026? · No | 0.998 | 0.992 | $122.02 | −$0.74 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.10at 0.991Will Ethereum dip to $1,800 in January?
- +$0.64at 0.940Will OpenAI have the top AI model on December 31?
- +$0.61at 0.995Will Solana reach $200 in February?
- +$0.50at 0.995Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2025?
- +$0.37at 0.997Will XRP dip to $0.20 in March?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12-15 12:38 | Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2025? | BUY | 0.9949999956 | $100.00 |
| 11-14 10:04 | Will OpenAI have the top AI model on December 31? | BUY | 0.9399999981 | $10.00 |
| 11-14 09:50 | Will Bitcoin reach $170,000 by December 31, 2025? | BUY | 0.973 | $5.0k |