0x3504755541dfe2a3ffd844ecb6ba2ca25bf5a832
0x3504755541dfe2a3ffd844ecb6ba2ca25bf5a832
- Realised P&L
- $-4.75
- Volume
- $28.1k
- Markets traded
- 698
- Open portfolio
- $4.14
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded698
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- Not knownProfit concentration—
- No settled positions sampled.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)0.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the median home value in Denver Metro be at least $482,000 on December 31? · No | 0.860 | 0.690 | $4.14 | −$1.02 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$12.48at 0.502Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?
- +$3.81at 0.576Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15?
- +$3.43at 0.599US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by December 31?
- +$0.23at 0.996Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?
- +$0.01at 0.998Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 26 to October 28, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-02 01:46 | Will the median home value in Denver Metro be at least $482,000 on December 31? | BUY | 0.86 | $5.16 |
| 11-02 01:14 | Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 82-83°F on November 2? | BUY | 0.6699999504 | $3.38 |
| 11-02 01:10 | Will StepFun have the best AI model on LiveBench (Coding) at the end of December 2026? | BUY | 0.99 | $19.80 |
| 11-02 01:10 | Will Meta have the best AI model on LiveBench (Coding) at the end of December 2026? | BUY | 0.96 | $19.20 |
| 11-02 01:06 | Will the median home value in Dallas Metro be between $391,000 and $395,000 on December 31? | BUY | 0.89 | $4.45 |
| 11-02 00:01 | Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 33°C on November 2? | BUY | 0.991900492 | $61.38 |
| 11-01 23:59 | Will The Weeknd have the second-greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month? | BUY | 0.72 | $5.75 |
| 11-01 23:59 | Will Bruno Mars have the second-greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month? | BUY | 0.999 | $19.98 |
| 11-01 23:25 | Will ByteDance have the #1 AI model at the end of January 2027? | BUY | 0.98 | $4.95 |
| 11-01 23:25 | Will Google have the #1 AI model at the end of January 2027? | BUY | 0.59 | $2.95 |
| 11-01 22:41 | Will Miami Dolphins win the 2026 AFC East | BUY | 0.992 | $19.84 |
| 11-01 22:04 | Will Donald Trump be the next leader out before 2027? | BUY | 0.993 | $49.65 |
| 11-01 22:04 | Will Javier Milei be the next leader out before 2027? | BUY | 0.998 | $49.90 |
| 11-01 22:01 | Will Rihanna have the second-greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month? | BUY | 0.27 | $5.94 |
| 11-01 22:01 | Will Bad Bunny have the second-greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month? | BUY | 0.9969999999 | $21.93 |