PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

427e

0x34f4f361136eb2b66572e6a364dd0f31e7c47d72

Realised P&L
$-74.24
Volume
$98.8k
Markets traded
43
Open portfolio
$25.95

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded43
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration85.1% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
ClearSettled sample42 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)59.5%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Steve Bannon win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · Yes0.0090.002$25.95$90.82

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-09 14:01Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 27°C on August 9?BUY0.996$1.14
08-09 14:00Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 29°C on August 9?BUY0.9989992309$1.13
08-09 14:00Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 28°C on August 9?BUY0.999$1.12
08-09 13:59Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on August 9?BUY0.995$1.12
08-09 13:58Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on August 9?BUY0.9889999947$1.12
06-27 10:49Will the lowest temperature in London be 21°C on June 27?BUY0.998$1.07
06-27 10:48Will the lowest temperature in London be 20°C on June 27?BUY0.999$1.06
06-27 10:47Will the highest temperature in Paris be 39°C on June 27?BUY0.9989991141$1.06
06-27 10:46Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on June 27?BUY0.9899991221$1.06
06-27 10:45Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on June 27?BUY0.9939994205$1.06
05-04 18:50Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on May 5?BUY0.998$1.30
05-04 18:50Will the highest temperature in London be 15°C on May 4?BUY0.9939997765$1.29
05-04 18:40Will the price of Bitcoin be between $68,000 and $70,000 on May 5?BUY0.999$1.15
03-04 07:29Will Steve Bannon win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?BUY0.009$116.77
03-04 07:28Will Tesla be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?BUY0.999$1.02