427e
0x34f4f361136eb2b66572e6a364dd0f31e7c47d72
- Realised P&L
- $-74.24
- Volume
- $98.8k
- Markets traded
- 43
- Open portfolio
- $25.95
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded43
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration85.1% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample42 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)59.5%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Steve Bannon win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · Yes | 0.009 | 0.002 | $25.95 | −$90.82 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$14.85at 0.007Will Tulsi Gabbard win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
- +$2.33at 0.978Will Donald Trump be inaugurated?
- +$0.17at 0.613Liverpool wins the Premier League?
- +$0.03at 0.995Will DeepSeek have the top AI model on May 31?
- +$0.01at 0.990Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on August 9?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-09 14:01 | Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 27°C on August 9? | BUY | 0.996 | $1.14 |
| 08-09 14:00 | Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 29°C on August 9? | BUY | 0.9989992309 | $1.13 |
| 08-09 14:00 | Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 28°C on August 9? | BUY | 0.999 | $1.12 |
| 08-09 13:59 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on August 9? | BUY | 0.995 | $1.12 |
| 08-09 13:58 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on August 9? | BUY | 0.9889999947 | $1.12 |
| 06-27 10:49 | Will the lowest temperature in London be 21°C on June 27? | BUY | 0.998 | $1.07 |
| 06-27 10:48 | Will the lowest temperature in London be 20°C on June 27? | BUY | 0.999 | $1.06 |
| 06-27 10:47 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 39°C on June 27? | BUY | 0.9989991141 | $1.06 |
| 06-27 10:46 | Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on June 27? | BUY | 0.9899991221 | $1.06 |
| 06-27 10:45 | Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on June 27? | BUY | 0.9939994205 | $1.06 |
| 05-04 18:50 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on May 5? | BUY | 0.998 | $1.30 |
| 05-04 18:50 | Will the highest temperature in London be 15°C on May 4? | BUY | 0.9939997765 | $1.29 |
| 05-04 18:40 | Will the price of Bitcoin be between $68,000 and $70,000 on May 5? | BUY | 0.999 | $1.15 |
| 03-04 07:29 | Will Steve Bannon win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.009 | $116.77 |
| 03-04 07:28 | Will Tesla be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on March 31? | BUY | 0.999 | $1.02 |