0x34ee6e2192abe4c65ab31377c664a22122612920
0x34ee6e2192abe4c65ab31377c664a22122612920
- Realised P&L
- $0.50
- Volume
- $563.00
- Markets traded
- 9
- Open portfolio
- $221.71
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded9
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample1 position
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration25.9% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Democratic Party win the PA-08 House seat? · Yes | 0.850 | 0.885 | $57.52 | +$2.27 |
| Will the Republican Party win the MO-02 House seat? · Yes | 0.620 | 0.595 | $56.52 | −$2.38 |
| Will the Republican Party win the NC-13 House seat? · Yes | 0.650 | 0.555 | $52.73 | −$9.03 |
| Will the Democratic Party win the NJ-02 House seat? · No | 0.700 | 0.685 | $32.88 | −$0.72 |
| Will the Republican Party win the PA-08 House seat? · Yes | 0.140 | 0.115 | $7.47 | −$1.63 |
| Will the Democrats win the Arizona governor race in 2026? · No | 0.090 | 0.065 | $6.50 | −$2.50 |
| Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? · Yes | 0.300 | 0.225 | $4.50 | −$1.50 |
| 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House · Yes | 0.080 | 0.055 | $3.58 | −$1.63 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$0.50at 0.950Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-28 20:49 | Will the Democrats win the Arizona governor race in 2026? | BUY | 0.09 | $9.00 |
| 10-28 20:49 | Will the Republican Party win the MO-02 House seat? | BUY | 0.62 | $58.90 |
| 10-28 20:48 | Will the Republican Party win the NC-13 House seat? | BUY | 0.65 | $61.75 |
| 10-28 20:47 | Will the Democratic Party win the NJ-02 House seat? | BUY | 0.7 | $33.60 |
| 10-27 14:41 | Will the Republican Party win the PA-08 House seat? | BUY | 0.14 | $9.10 |
| 10-27 14:41 | Will the Democratic Party win the PA-08 House seat? | BUY | 0.85 | $55.25 |
| 10-26 15:52 | 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House | BUY | 0.08 | $5.20 |
| 10-24 17:45 | Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.3 | $6.00 |
| 10-24 16:29 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.95 | $9.50 |