chechece
0x34eb28a0b98c496efc3ab3b01ed1a32fc02f2f33
- Realised P&L
- $305.74
- Volume
- $15.6k
- Markets traded
- 112
- Open portfolio
- $111.99
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar2.0%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded112
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration75.9% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)88.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Solana reach $190 in September? · No | 0.991 | 0.990 | $111.99 | −$0.17 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$340.74at 0.540Raptors vs. Hornets
- +$75.36at 0.840Starmer out by March 31, 2026?
- +$13.13at 0.379Will Elon Musk post 540-559 tweets from December 30 to January 6, 2026?
- +$9.00at 0.100Will Powell say "crypto" or "Bitcoin" during January press conference?
- +$8.67at 0.600Arizona State vs. Duke
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-13 10:38 | Will Solana reach $190 in September? | BUY | 0.9909999953 | $112.16 |
| 08-23 06:57 | Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in August? | BUY | 0.9949999984 | $112.07 |
| 07-18 20:33 | Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in July? | BUY | 0.999 | $111.00 |
| 07-08 12:12 | Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.979 | $109.00 |
| 07-06 11:55 | Will Egypt win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.998 | $109.00 |
| 07-04 14:19 | Will Paraguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.998 | $109.00 |
| 07-04 14:19 | Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.983 | $2.21 |
| 06-09 18:37 | Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.975 | $2.20 |
| 06-09 18:37 | Will Sweden win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.996 | $2.20 |
| 05-14 14:52 | Will Sweden win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.995 | $2.20 |
| 04-15 10:33 | Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $170 by end of June? | BUY | 0.971 | $103.90 |
| 02-27 10:58 | Starmer out by March 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.84 | $89.88 |
| 02-27 10:54 | Opinion FDV above $500M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.507 | $2.54 |
| 02-27 10:52 | Opinion FDV above $500M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.506 | $85.74 |
| 02-27 10:51 | Opinion FDV above $500M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.505 | $10.09 |