tim-che
0x34dfda39ab499f628cb80c50cd93c432801049ec
- Realised P&L
- $-1.1k
- Volume
- $6.3k
- Markets traded
- 6
- Open portfolio
- $59.20
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-17.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded6
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample1 position
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the US reopen its embassy in Iran in 2026? · Yes | 0.152 | 0.045 | $59.20 | −$140.80 |
| Will India send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.113 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$100.00 |
| Will France win Eurovision 2026? · Yes | 0.107 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$100.00 |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026? · Yes | 0.491 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$800.00 |
| Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 23°C on May 8? · Yes | 0.088 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$100.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$157.18at 0.590US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-08 10:33 | Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 23°C on May 8? | BUY | 0.0884826771 | $100.00 |
| 05-07 16:00 | Will the US reopen its embassy in Iran in 2026? | BUY | 0.152039408 | $200.00 |
| 05-07 15:52 | Will India send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.1131966149 | $100.00 |
| 04-27 20:32 | US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.4906417447 | $800.00 |
| 04-27 20:30 | Will France win Eurovision 2026? | BUY | 0.1072809612 | $100.00 |
| 04-20 13:37 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.5899999995 | $226.19 |