Ignacioap
0x34dfb7d5b9e9d44ee85e87886d3a8b8602477b75
- Realised P&L
- $-33.23
- Volume
- $3.6k
- Markets traded
- 357
- Open portfolio
- $3.72
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded357
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration14.0% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)84.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration38.9% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$9.59at 0.094Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 12°C on April 21?
- +$4.29at 0.138Bitcoin Up or Down - August 17, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET
- +$3.54at 0.198Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 17°C on June 6?
- +$3.52at 0.218Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on October 3?
- +$3.25at 0.086Will Bitcoin reach $82,500 in August?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-05 20:54 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 22°C on October 6? | SELL | 0.24 | $1.26 |
| 10-05 20:54 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on October 6? | SELL | 0.23 | $1.21 |
| 10-05 14:32 | Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on October 6? | BUY | 0.0330971104 | $1.00 |
| 10-05 14:26 | Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 70-71°F on October 6? | BUY | 0.0726216412 | $1.00 |
| 10-05 14:25 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 24°C on October 6? | BUY | 0.1199999904 | $1.00 |
| 10-05 14:25 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 22°C on October 6? | BUY | 0.1904761905 | $1.00 |
| 10-05 14:24 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on October 6? | BUY | 0.1899999962 | $1.00 |
| 10-03 10:21 | Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 64-65°F on October 3? | SELL | 0.0283241297 | $0.47 |
| 10-03 10:21 | Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on October 3? | SELL | 0.997 | $4.75 |
| 10-02 19:37 | Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 82-83°F on October 3? | SELL | 0.36 | $1.63 |
| 10-02 17:30 | Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 78-79°F on October 2? | SELL | 0.13 | $1.63 |
| 10-02 16:38 | Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on October 3? | SELL | 0.09 | $1.50 |
| 10-02 14:43 | Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on October 3? | BUY | 0.2099999895 | $1.00 |
| 10-02 14:43 | Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 82-83°F on October 3? | BUY | 0.219999978 | $1.00 |
| 10-02 14:42 | Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 64-65°F on October 3? | BUY | 0.0599999988 | $1.00 |